Re: Narmac
in response to
by
posted on
Aug 09, 2024 12:37PM
Hear, hear.
We should compile a list of steaming turd whoppers. Saudi financing. CRP and breast cancer phase 2's being registration enabling trials. Trial commencement dates. Hepalink paying half. The Covid phase 2 trial moving to Brazil. That's just off the top of my head.
Anyway. I don't doubt that the general strategy is as described, because they've run out of options. It's just more a question of whether it can be accomplished. And, in this case there's an external backstop control: Hepalink has given 2 years. That gives until May 2026 for Zenith to close a deal.
Given that trial data will only improve over time and that this will both facilitate a deal and increase an eventual deal value, this is the timeline I think is realistic for a Zenith deal for the "deal on offer". This means that I don't think that BOM2 or PCC will commence until 2026 or later.
This is based on at least the following assumptions:
It is possible that Zenith can sell 20% of its apabetalone royalty in the meantime, but something about that option tells me this was more diversion. I don't think it's as valuable as Don makes it out to be when the whole company is worth a fraction of that value. Just my hunch. Maybe someone is willing to pay something if RVX can commit to starting the trial sooner. I don't know but I'm not counting on it.
All just my opinion.