so that I can manage my expectations

imo, no one here has the answer you are looking for.  No one here is saying the SP is going to make a big move, or when.  After what we here have been through in the last dozen years, no one here can be scared, no one here can be excited (well except YM still some days maybe, lol)

To set the proper expectations, try looking at the 15-year chart for a good long while.  

Otherwise, please save us all the banter and just pay the Ask...

Thanks,