Why so modest, ebear, that's a well thought out exposition, a very good contribution.
I guess some bears are "unbearably" shy.
Traditional Chinese culture has a custom of minimizing and depreciating everything they do or own. That way they don't attract the attention of the gods who might get jealous of their success and happiness. I think something like this applies to the markets - as soon as you get too confident in your ability, the market gods knock you down. Gods or not though, it's never a good idea to be too sure of yourself in this game.
ebear