OT: No Mention Of Tapering
posted on
Jul 31, 2013 10:24PM
Virtually 100% of all anal-ysts were predicting tapering by September just a couple of months back. Now analysts are divided. I'll stick to my guns, that bond buying will increase in the future.
Just my two cents worth but a rising price of silver would be the biggest factor in a rising UC share price. Management, unfortunately, cannot control the Spot price of silver. As the price of gold and silver have been rising very recently, a few stocks in my portfolio are starting to show some life. SMF
The FOMC appears to have 'tweaked' its message to fit with Bernanke's confusing commentary and confirms that 'tapering is not tightening'.
Bullard no longer dissenting, George is sole dissenter. Here is the key statement addition:
The Committee recognizes that inflation persistently below its 2 percent objective could pose risks to economic performance...
i.e., the Fed now has an "out" if the economy tanks: it is due to inflation not hitting 2%, which the Fed can also blame the broken fiscal system on.
And don't forget, of course, that this is all pretense in the face of the inevitability of the taper due to refunding, political, andtechnical reasons. As we noted earlier, it seems preferable to pretend the economy is strong enough to withstand less-easing (tightening) than admit the Fed is cornered.
Recall, the only chart that matters to the Fed structurally: a 30% drop in funding, and thus monetization, needs for the US in Q4 2013 compared to when QEternity was launched:
Pre: S&P Futs 1685, 10Y 2.65%, USD Index 81.80, WTI $104.65, Gold $1311