It's the chance you take being out at the wrong time, meaning for significant moves on whatever happens to be the driving force du jour. This time around, patent news... A most notable "swinger" and anti-Edigger from '99 took your stance, missed the run and ended buying in at $8 for chump change. Lots of feel good swing trades that serve as lunch money and a lot of brag without much punch. If you're hungry I suppose it is a way to play, but not my game plan.