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Message: The Latest from George Doumet at Scotia Capital Markets

George still likes it and still has an outperform rating as well as a $10 price target. Here is his July 31 summary.

Rico

Company Profile

Crius Energy Trust, the result of the merger of Regional Energy Holdings Inc. and

Public Power LLC, is among the largest independent energy retailers in the United

States. The combined entity engages in the sale of energy in 10 U.S. states and the

District of Columbia and natural gas in four states. The resulting combination of the

sales platforms have created an extensive multi-channel platform, with channels

targeting exclusive marketing partnerships, network marketing, and telemarketing. As

at June 30, 2012, Crius Energy had 495,600 customers.

Business Mix (Based on revenues unless otherwise noted)

95% Electricity; 5% Natural Gas

Comparable Companies (TSX unless otherwise noted)

JE-T

.Recent Update Text as of 31JUL13 . Crius Energy Trust is expected to report Q2/13 results on August 7. We are looking for sales of $109.7M and EBITDA of $12.8M, below consensus of

. $125M and $13.6M, respectively. We are looking for a normalized operating environment starting in Q2/13: gross

margins to revert to 25.2% (in line with the midpoint of company's guidance)

from 17.6% last quarter. We believe this is supported by the lack of power price

volatility and unlikelihood of volumetric risk in the company's operating

markets. Based on 23.5% gross margin assumption, KWH's 2013E payout ratio is 89% . We expect KWH to add 35k RCEs this quarter, below last quarter's +48.5k RCEs

(due mainly to the seasonally weaker Viridian network in Q2). We expect an

acceleration in customer additions starting in 2H/13 as FTR (Exclusive Marketing

channel) fully ramps up. . Direct Energy's Q2/13 results point to robust organic growth and improved

retention rates in Crius' key Northeastern U.S. market, but at the cost of

. margin compression (increased competition). We expect Q2 and 2H/13 to be more indicative of the company's earnings power

(irregular weather patterns and an under-hedged energy position in Q4/12 and

Q1/13). Moving forward, we are confident in the trust's ability to: (1)

gradually pass through recent spikes in prices, (2) add RCEs organically, and

(3) execute accretive and strategic acquisitions.

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