Part I & 2 Evaluating Jr Gold Co - How Does VIT Rate Itself
posted on
Apr 29, 2009 05:45AM
The Company's Eagle Gold Project in Yukon Canada hosts a National Instrument 43-101 compliant Reserve of 2.3 million ounces of gold.
Part I: How Does Victoria Rate Itself as a Metals Junior Company?
Although the information below was published on Aug 11, 2008, Chad's comments are still relevant today. IMO, A lot of favorable things have been happening at Victoria since this report that makes Victoria Gold a premiere choice for those investors considering an investment in the junior gold sector.
On Jim Sinclair’s web site, which is viewed on a daily basis by thousands of investors worldwide, he often has well known qualified core contributors to his daily missives regarding the gold market, gold stocks, and other markets that have a meaningful impact on those investments. On April 25th, one of his core contributors to his daily commentary, “David Duval”, posted a another article that delineates what attributes investors should be looking for in evaluating the merits of investing in a specific junior gold company.
I have asked Chad, President and CEO of Victoria Gold to publish his comments on "How Victoria Gold Meets David Duval's Investment Criteria for Evaluating Gold Juniors". Hopefully, Chad will find time in his busy schedule to publish his rating on how Victoria meets Duval's investment criteria's.
David Duval's report is show at the bottom of this report.
How does Victoria rate itself as a metals junior company? |
Victoria Gold Corp. |
Tom Smith has asked Victoria to rate itself on Jim Sinclair’s criteria to be considered when selecting a precious metals junior to invest in. The criteria and the Company’s responses are listed below: Management ethics, found out by checking litigation, criminal and credit records. All this information is now easily attainable. According to Victoria’s MANAGEMENT INFORMATION CIRCULAR from June 26, 2008 (see HYPERLINK "http://www.sedar.com/"www.sedar.com) for example: Cease Trade Orders or Bankruptcies None of the proposed directors are, as at the date hereof, or have been, within the ten years prior to the date hereof, a director or executive officer, of any company that, while that person was acting in the capacity: (a) was the subject of a cease trade order or similar order or an order that denied the relevant company access to any exemption under securities legislation, for a period of more than 30 consecutive days; (b) was subject to an event that resulted, after the director or executive officer ceased to be a director or executive officer, in the company being the subject of a cease trade or similar order or an order that denied the relevant company access to any exemption under securities legislation, for a period of more than 30 consecutive days; or (c) within a year of that person ceasing to act in that capacity, became bankrupt, made a proposal under any legislation relating to bankruptcy or insolvency or was subject to or instituted any proceedings, arrangement or compromise with creditors or had a receiver, receiver manager or trustee appointed to hold its assets. None of the proposed directors have, within the ten years prior to the date hereof, become bankrupt, made a proposal under any legislation relating to bankruptcy or insolvency, or become subject to or instituted any proceedings, arrangement or compromise with creditors, or had a receiver, receiver manager or trustee appointed to hold the assets of the proposed director. Penalties or Sanctions Other than as disclosed below, no proposed director of the Company has: (a) been subject to any penalties or sanctions imposed by a court relating to securities legislation or by a securities regulatory authority or has entered into a settlement agreement with a securities regulatory authority; or (b) been subject to any other penalties or sanctions imposed by a court or regulatory body, including a self-regulatory body, that would be likely to be considered important to a reasonable shareholder making a decision about whether to vote for the proposed director.’’ A property or properties with outstanding upside promise sustained supporting data. We feel that ALL of our properties have outstanding potential! They were selected based on strong geologic potential, proximity to known gold mines, and ease of access (meaning lower cost exploration). Remember that we only explore properties which we feel have the potential to host multi-million ounce deposits. The drill results that we have reported recently from Cove and some time back from Mill Canyon and other properties are perfect evidence that we have the ability to find gold. History of success both on the ground (properties to mines) and in the financial markets (stock performances of at least 10 to 1 value). Our exploration team his been associated with more than a dozen economic gold deposits. This is an incredible feat when one considers that it is very rare for a team to discover even one of these. We raised over $15 million in the past year; the demand was at least three times this number. Strong hands on board This criterion is not clearly expressed. If Jim Sinclair means strong management, we believe our team is extremely motivated, capable and incentivized to add value per share for investors. Key man insurance Victoria does not have this in place. Order of succession in place It is a very high priority of Victoria to train its employees aggressively so that if a key member of this company were to leave, the impacts would be mitigated. This is one reason that we carry a relatively large number of geologists for a company of our size. No anti-takeover devices written into the indenture of your certificate. Victoria does not have anti-takeover devices written into the indenture of our certificate. Availability of knowledgeable person in the company to speak with. Investors are always welcome to call management if they have any questions. You retain a property-qualified geologist to perform a desk review of all exploration, development and production information at company headquarters. Investors are also welcome to visit our Reno or Toronto offices to review our exploration activities provided we get a few days notice so that we can arrange to have someone from our team available. A property visit by this consultant if the position is to be of significance. Property visits are also available but because of the more complicated logistics, we try to schedule these only a few times each year. The company has access to financing. Victoria does not generate free cash flow since we are in the exploration business only at this time. Therefore, our sources of funding have been mainly through the issuance of equity. The company has used financial restraint, therein having control over insider options, preferably none. Victoria has managed it’s balance sheet well over the past year. For example, we raised about $15 million yet still have about $8 million in cash remaining (even after repaying a loan of over $1 million). We believe in employee options as a way to motivate our employees. But we have demonstrated restraint in issuing these options. We value our shares tremendously. The company has no warrants outstanding. Victoria has roughly 16 million warrants and options outstanding. A significant short position at this time is highly desirable. We believe that our current short position is relatively small (about 100,000 shares). The market must be liquid so therefore some respectable listing is preferable. Victoria is listed on the TSE-Venture exchange. Our average daily trade volume is about 100,000 shares. Preferably not listed on the Frankfurt Bremen Exchange. The Company is not aware of any other listing. Key executive and board members hold a reasonable amount of shares. Our share holdings are listed in the MANAGEMENT INFORMATION CIRCULAR that was mailed to shareholders in June 2008 and is available on www.sedar.com. It is up to investors to decide if these holdings are “reasonable”. Goodly number of stockholders. We believe that we have roughly 500 shareholders at the current time. Note that this number is difficult for us to determine exactly because many shares are held through central depositary accounts (CDS for example). Owned by but not primarily owned by some respected fund interest. We can count amongst our shareholders over ten of the very best mining funds in the business. Preferably not in any index. We are not in any index as far as we know. The company has a good Sarbanes Oxley program with financial checks and balances. SOX does not apply to Victoria because we are a Canadian company listed on a Canadian exchange. Audited by a respectable firm with special attention to who does the subsidiary audits if offshore to the venue of incorporation and trading. Our auditor is PriceWaterhouseCoopers. The only subsidiary we have is Victoria Resources (US) Inc. which is a 100% owned operating entity we employ for US legal, operating, and financial reasons. Part II: Evaluating Gold Juniors: Are You Missing the Big Picture? Posted: Apr 25 2009 By: David Duval Post Edited: April 25, 2009 at 7:52 pm Filed under: David Duval Dear CIGAs, Evaluating the merits and future prospects for a junior exploration company is a highly subjective process. Intangibles such as political risk, financial risk, market risk, commodity risk, technical risk and a host of other variables confront companies across the entire minerals industry spectrum. Nonetheless, no matter what the relative size of the company or the commodities segment it’s actively involved in, the best place to start your evaluation is with management. This is especially true for junior gold explorers, the segment of the minerals industry that accounts for the largest proportion of global exploration expenditures and, predictably, the vast majority of new gold discoveries. In reality, these are the “feeder companies” for the major gold producers whose primary focus is usually weighted to production (i.e. bread and butter issues) rather than exploration. In order to maintain the annual production rates that underpin their share price valuations, these majors need new sources of gold production and junior explorers are usually the ones that feed their insatiable appetites. Not surprisingly, when push comes to shove they are generally willing to pay a king’s ransom for undeveloped, economically viable gold resources in the ground. Let’s have a broad look at several important criteria one should examine before determining a suitable investment in this often complex but infinitely exciting investment sector. Management: Do the Litmus Test It shouldn’t come as any surprise that good management can spell the difference between success and failure. So how does one determine if management is good or bad? First and foremost past success is arguably among the best litmus tests for gauging management, although it’s certainly no guarantee. In this Internet age, regulatory filings and Google searches can often reveal a library of information on specific individuals and corporate entities. A good CEO with a track record that includes at least one notable success generally has the ability to attract risk capital because people like to bet on a jockey that’s won a race already. In addition to having market recognition from past successes, they often tend to be magnets for high quality exploration projects. Most investors in this market sector have observed seemingly well qualified management ruin good exploration companies because of bad technical judgments and even poorer market decisions. In the latter case, non-market oriented executives often forget that markets and exploration-related activities are closely aligned - if not joined at the hip. Those who manage one without paying attention to the other do so at their peril. These days it’s quite uncommon for industry executives to have a personal investment in the companies whose future they control. Instead, they elect to take large salaries and award themselves cheap stock options which are typically re-priced lower when the company’s stock price reflects their lack of success. Executives who are willing to risk their own money with ordinary shareholders have an added incentive to be successful. In old fashioned terms, it’s called “putting your money where your mouth is” - a lesson that unfortunately is largely ignored by most contemporary mining executives. Their shareholding need not necessarily be large but it should at least be meaningful. It’s also wise to look for management with a broad knowledge of the minerals industry and capital markets, both of which are integral to running a successful company. These attributes need not be exclusive to the CEO but they should feature prominently within the corporate management team including the board of directors. Senior executives don’t necessarily have to be geologists or engineers but they should at least have the ability to attract, manage and motivate a multi-disciplined group of industry professionals who share the corporation’s philosophy and objectives. Who can forget Paul Penna who brokered penny stocks in Toronto before he became the guiding force and chief executive behind one of the most successful mining companies in the world, Agnico-Eagle? Personal integrity and the ability to communicate the company’s message to shareholders and the marketplace round out the critical attributes that one should look for in public company management. Summary: In the minerals business, past performance is often a good indicator but not a guarantee of future success. Pick management with strong track records and preferably at least one notable success (i.e. mineral discovery). The ability of management to raise capital to fund the company’s activities on an ongoing basis is also critical as the price of any exploration company’s stock is results driven - and getting those results costs money. Management integrity can be determined by examining the way a company conducts its business, especially in foreign jurisdictions. In the case of developing economies, this would include a strong commitment to the principles of sustainable development. Also, one should keep in mind that a company can be a success in the marketplace without taking a project to commercial production. In fact, the majority of mineral explorers never achieve such a distinction, selling out instead to an operating company with production expertise, perhaps retaining a royalty in future production. Project Selection: The Best Place to Find a Mine is Where There is One There are many aspects to selecting a good minerals project. But smart companies attempt to reduce some of the geological risk by exploring areas with known mineral potential as well as active mining operations. Most of the world’s gold production comes from greenstone belts, ancient volcanic and sedimentary rocks that feature prominently in the mining industries of Canada , Australia and South Africa . These belts typically host a broad range of metals including gold, silver, platinum, nickel, copper, lead, zinc and even diamonds. When you examine the evolution of these belts from a precious metals standpoint, new discoveries are being made well over one hundred years after the initial discoveries. Emerging greenstone belts, including the Lake Victoria Greenstone Belt in Tanzania , are relatively early in their development and will likely account for increasing amounts of gold and base metals production in the years ahead. In these regions, the larger the land position you have the better! Companies exploring such areas are generally good exploration bets because the infrastructure in these regions tends to be better and the local population generally has a cultural affinity towards mining. Summary: Pick companies with large strategic landholdings and exploration projects in areas with proven geological potential, active mining operations (= good infrastructure), and a recent history of discovery and new mine development. Project Development: Establishing the Big Picture Exploration methodology has changed little in decades with the exception of data processing which today is understandably highly computerized. “Boots on the ground” remains the most effective method of discovering mineral deposits and that’s not likely to change any time soon - if ever. Evaluating an exploration project is most meaningful at the drilling stage and this is when investors usually step into the marketplace. Market activity during this period is generally based on the timely release of exploration results. Understandably, diamond drilling or rotary drilling results are considered the “Gold Standard” during this phase of exploration because these results comprise most of the input data for resource calculations. In Canada , geologists must adhere to the 43-101 standards when reporting resources for any commodity. This standard is a codified set of rules and guidelines for reporting and displaying information related to mineral properties; and it applies to any company listed on a Canadian exchange which is where the majority of the world’s junior explorers are trading. Resource estimates are by far the most misunderstood feature of the 43-101 reporting standard. Investors like to apply values to resources that have not been proven economically viable which is a long, costly process. This is particularly true for “Inferred Resources” which have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence, along with their economic viability. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of any Inferred Mineral Resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category. For large exploration projects, most companies focus on developing the property-wide potential with widely-spaced drill holes. The reason for this is actually quite simple and practical. Drilling is expensive so rather than expend money tightening up drill hole spacing to produce a resource with no economic legitimacy, companies prefer to assess the global potential to ensure they end up testing the most attractive targets. Summary When assessing the potential of a mineral property, make sure your analysis falls within a big picture context. One thing to look for is a broad distribution of gold values on the property. You can find comprehensive information on exploration companies from publicly disseminated news releases and regulatory filings. The technical information in these filings has to be 43-101 compliant, providing a high measure of security to investors. Be careful not to apply economic viability to any resource category, especially inferred resources. Even resources that are included in a full fledged feasibility study are subject to various assumptions including future commodity prices. Exploration Agreements: The Devil is in the Details Minerals exploration is often conducted under joint venture agreements. In these situations a corporate entity has the right to earn a specific interest in an exploration project for a set expenditure over a specific period of time. In most cases, the expenditure commitment would include money for exploration and staged option payments to the property owner. Look closely at the JV agreement to determine what interest the optionee can earn (the larger the better) and the cost associated with earning that interest. Junior partners involved in exploration joint ventures with major companies are at a distinct disadvantage. Make sure they have the internal ability or have sought professional help to ensure their joint venture agreements do not subject them to any derivative-related exposure or accounting related issues at production that will prevent them from achieving a timely return on their investment. Summary Exploration agreements are important and can make or break a company. Make sure you know exactly what interest the company will end up with after the earn-in period. Also, beware of excessive financial commitments (including non-exploration related option payments) that can put the company at risk during periods of market weakness. In the event commercial viability is established, ensure the production agreement with the major allows for a timely return on the junior partner’s investment. Royalty Agreements: Low Risk, Premium Market Valuation Some companies opt for Net Smelter Royalty agreements (NSR) which limits the financial risk associated with funding exploration work themselves. The royalty model allows for industry partners to earn up to a 100% working interest in an exploration project for a firm exploration commitment and rental (option) payments over a specific time period. In this particular case the property vendor would receive a sliding scale royalty (based on the gold price) should the property achieve commercial production. Because achieving commercial production is the responsibility of the project operator, the royalty partner does not suffer any dilution of shareholder’s equity or development capital risk. A net smelter royalty (NSR) is the amount actually paid to the mine or mill owner from the sale of ore, minerals and other materials or concentrates mined and removed from mineral properties. This type of royalty provides cash flow that is free of any operating or capital costs and environmental liabilities. A percentage of an NSR royalty on an ore body can effectively equate to a larger percentage of the economic value of the ore body. Royalty companies have low overhead, are relatively easy to evaluate, and generally command a premium in the marketplace. Summary The royalty model is virtually risk free but realizing royalty income from an exploration property is dependent upon the project operator achieving commercial production. For exploration companies, holding a strategic land position in a developing gold camp is an essential requirement to attract royalty partners. Royalty exploration companies operate under the principle that you can find gold cheaper through exploration than you could by purchasing production through royalty agreements on the open market. Royalty companies are attractive because they typically command a premium in the marketplace. |