TYHEE GOLD CORP

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Message: Tyhee Development Potential

So we know the risks. Takeover, inability to get financing, Canada nationalizes mines, no permit, crappy FS, etc.

In case Tyhee makes it, here are my latest calulations:

ASSUMPTIONS:

No take over, Tyhee gets financing, gets permits, gets a positive feasability study and the Canadian Government behaves.

Production rate of 150,000 oz/year, shares outstanding @ time of production of 500 M, total debt @ start of production of $150 M @ 8% APR and 8 year amortization which is monthly debt. service of $2.12 M or $25.44 M annually, operatiing cost $600/ounce (Current est. per PF is low $500's), Gold @ $2,000.

Yearly Gross: 150,000 X $2,000 = $300,000,000 ($300 M)

Yearly Net: $300 M - (150K X $600) - (25.44 M) = 184.56 M

Earnings per share: $184.56 M/ 500 M shares = 0.37

Therefore price per share = $7.40

At ALF's numbers its $55.40

If production rate increases it's higher.

If there is a "blow-off" phase in the gold bull its higher.

I am still buying FYI TDC, Gold and Silver bullion.

SM

PS: I still think Tyhee makes it to production as a publicly traded company.

8
Dec 16, 2011 04:01PM
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