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Message: Rangebound [0.1 - 0.15].... Will Tyhee break out from 0.15?

Rangebound [0.1 - 0.15].... Will Tyhee break out from 0.15?

posted on Mar 31, 2009 08:27AM

All,



(Long time ... I follow your dialogue once in a while. Thanks for all the relevant messages, analysis and input. Most appreciated!)



I tend to agree with FBs analysis.

FB has not been gold stock bullish for a very long time. So his point is interesting.

Why do I think FB has a point ... because every business and financial newspaper talk about gold and oil.

Banks are now talking gold.

Pension funds are now talking about inflation hedge, pointing at gold and other tangibles.

The next phase of "everyone need to have some gold" in their portefolio is developing.Think about 2007, there was no common news gold focus at all. Now it is every day headline.

Fundamentally Tyhee is tangible and an long term inflation hedge and investment at these levels.Tyhee is way too developed to drop to zero.

Technically, looking at the big picture I believe Tyhee is in to follow suit with its big brother mining pears leading the market in recovery. Tyhee has now a nice 100 days moving average support and a very nice break out potential of 0,15 and away.

Mining and gold was leading the recovery in 2002, then oil then the stock market 2003. Could this happen again? I believe so. This even gives room for another stock market chash with new lows for banks and manufacturing etc, while I gold and mining could defend current levels from new lows.

Tyhee is building and so far defending a nice new foundation and I would not be surprised to see the Madam pop on a 0.15 breakout over the next couple of weeks or months.

Could it take another 6 months, Yes. Could there be a new Tyhee leg down sure but not at all certain.

I have done some dollar cost average below 0.15.

Go Tyhee, because you are worth it :-)



Short comment on JP and FB:

FB actually warned JP long before the melt down. They did not agree on the market development. So to those unsatisfied with JP and FB I understand. JP was wrong and FB was wrong, but to their defence JP actually often presented and disagreed with FB. Eg. FB were short to middle term bearish on gold before the 2007 crash, especially when gold reached 1100. This week end FB was mid term bullish and JP partly short. They both have a damn poor timing, but I admire JP for the big picture and FB for the technical trend analysis.

Also, who would be bearish openly to 1000s of listeners and hit hard on gold mining stocks when they both back then were big time long ? That would be a little naive ...



Best

Euro



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