" think that a gold bull market comes along only every 30 yrs or so. We have been in a bubble economy the last 30 yrs or so and the next or present bubble will be precious metals. Base metals will come back eventually as the rest of the world continues to want to live like the west, but at this time are being sold off because of an apparent world recession. I think this will change once the de leveraging is over and coming out the other side will be base metals and agriculture."

I'm there with you on gold however if you were to take a K-wave view of things, then winter is not a good time for commodities, you would need a much greater washout of financial assets/debt before a new cycle can begin.

I'm not weeded to the K-wave idea however it does paint a neat picture that the 70's was he summer phase, the 90's was the Autumn and we are now in the winter phase. What national currencies come and go during this phase is anyones guess however, it just feels wrong to suggest that a new base metal run is at hand imo