These are my own conclusions of a third jv...
posted on
Nov 09, 2008 06:52AM
(Edit this Message from the "Fast Facts" Section)
This is highly speculative point by point:
1. Do you own conclusions .. CC is BUYING SHARES
CHEAP.. thats good provide liquidity to the non believers.
many warrants and options have run the course and buying
shares could reduce the cause to about 50 million shares
fully diluted
2. The joint venture and used equipment is not in the bag,
but if concluded $250 million/ 2 = only $125$ capex per
member... on a 60,000 tonne. day .. 30 million pound
annually mine.
3. If number 2 above becomes true capex could be paid
in one year by each member and the equipment and mine is pretty
good collateral for bank money.
4. It all comes down to profits . share
tcm has 155,000,000 shares diluted producing 30 million pounds
TTM could produce 15 million pounds with around 75 million
shares or maybe even lower , as te jv may pay much of the bank study etc.
4. Remember we have the capacity to start at 40 million
pounds annually ina 90,000 tonnes operation.... so their
is definitely room for a thREE WAY DEAL
5. oN A THREE way deal .. ttm would have no capex and no
debt and keep their $10,000,000.00 in the bank
However they would receive profits on 13.5 million pounds
of moly annually (40.5/ 3 = 13.5 million)
If that was the case at 50 million shares compared
to tcm who has 155 million shares.. well draw your own
logical conclusion tcm would have to produce over 40 million
pounds annually to enjoy the same profits per share.
6. The suitor in a 3 way deal would receive a fully operational mine
at about $1.50/ pound.
7. Of course all the above does not include the other
anomalies
Atb
Sandy9