Re: New Rule for ME!!- Another Take on This
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by
posted on
Mar 28, 2010 09:36PM
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Hi Klaus,
Even more great advice. I like it!!
WOW, 60-65% I really need to take a course on technical trading. I really don't have the time at the moment, but I will start poking around about T/A a little more. I know I have learned quite a bit from just blogging and reading posts with you, Chris, and others. With this trading for yourself thing, it is more involved than I ever thought. The crazy thing is I still enjoy doing it all, but it is very trying, to say the least. I could see myself one day, just saying the heck with it, but I am not there yet. It fascinates me that I can't figure it out and succeed at it. This is a real hurdle, and one goal I have not yet acheived.
I see your point about knowing what other's (mostly the big guy's) expectations are and that has been proven to me quite a few times, as I have seen good results (whether drill, earnings, or whatever) get sold off, time and time again. I would even go as far, as to say, that it happens more times than not. I guess that is where the saying comes from "buy on rumour, and sell on news." I have learned the hard way, that it is NEWS. Any news, good or bad.
Here are a few stocks that I am considering with my new approach. I would really appreciate your input on where you see them in your chart model, compared to where I see them.
CXX- looks like a good candidate on your model theory in my eyes, as it has been in the praires for over a year now. Can a stock stuck like that be worriesome for some reason?? Is it maybe not a pick yet, as it hasn't shown us any real sign of wanting to start climbing up, or is this prime pickings.
KMK- I am already in this one, but it is worrysome to a degree, as it has run up quite a bit in one year. I would say it has cons. at $2.00 for almost 5 months now, giving it reason to have support in that area.
MTB- I just moved out of this one a few weeks ago, after holding all winter long, and not being able to sell or buy anything. I am reconsidering going back into it. The chart shows some nice slow movement up just recently, maybe the start of the foothills, after the winter of consolidating.
EAR- this is a micro micro capper (2 million market cap., with 38 million s/o), and I should just stay away, but I do like the chart as compared to your model. And again I just moved out of this with MTB.
CPN- I took some of this the other day, and the more I think about it the more I like it. It reminds of a play that I researced the heck out of and never bought, as I was locked into other plays, and couldn't get out (really realize the losses, but I did eventually anyways). That play was FVI, and they also had a whole mineable property with pounds in the ground, that the markets where discounting for one reason or another, just like CPN and their mine right now. FVI was at $.90 then and I watched it fly to $2.50 rather quick without me. That one hurt, as I had lots of time in it and loved it, but never got in.
CPN's chart is a bit different, for me anyways. I see it making new highs over the last year, and then retracting a bit, but never breaking the lower channel line, thus never falling totally off a cliff. And then it will make new highs again, and do it all over again. It looks like a nice steady climber, but hasn't taken off just yet.
GBG- now that is a jagged mess, that scares me a little. It would seem it is maybe on the leeward side. Hard to tell, where it is. The five year doesn't really help much either.
SQI- I think for my sake (and especially anyone else invested in it) I should just stay away. I need to limit my downside risk, no matter how good it sounds, as this one has just had a healthy run up. I don't want to be buying on the (maybe, maybe not, no way to really know for sure or not, but can't take the risk right now) top of the mountain peak.
URE- looks like a chart I can handle. I am not so sure about spot uranium prices right now or where they need to be for this one, but the chart looks like the right kind of play.
TMM- what do you make of this one. I see a bit of a risk for myself right now, with this new plan coming into effect. It has cons. at the $1.00 plus mark for a few months now, but it looks like it could fall??
EQN- would you consider this one in the leeward stage. This is a copper play, and I am not really keen on getting into copper at this stage in the game, but as far as the chart goes, is it leeward or maybe a bit of the praires.
RM- this one looks like it is in praire mood, but maybe a little troubled?? The five year shows the big gain that the one year doesn't, meaning it could possibly still fall off a cliff. Would you say if it broke below $.50 that it could continue down quite fast. I think it might be at the lower channel line right now. Would it be a buy then, or would you say to hold off and see what way it wants to go, before you move in or not.
Holy cow, I just looked at how much I have wrote here. Sorry Klaus, I got wrapped up in trying to figure this out some more. If you do find the time, I think it would be a great help to my way of thinking about my trades to compare them. Even if you can plug away at them when it is conveinent for you would be GREATLY APPRECIATED. Thanks in advance.
Ryan