Earlier this month I drove down to Brussels, Belgium, to buy some Krugerrands. I could have bought them in my home country, The Netherlands, but I found the premiums at local dealers outrageous. In Brussels, I found a dealer that only asked a couple of euros above the spot price, which came down to a 1.5% premium.

At that time, it was already surprising that at every local dealer, premiums were over 5% for 1oz Krugerrands. And taking a day off from work, spending a full day travelling to Brussels, a distance of 220kms (about 135 miles), and EUR 60 on fuel was certainly worth the difference.

Now, with the spot price in euros pretty much similar to the price at the time I bought the coins, the Krugerrands can only be bought at crazy premiums on top of the spot price. Now, at my favourite dealer in Brussels, the bid price is even higher than the spot price.

According to Bloomberg, the reason for that is that Rand Refinery, the producer of Krugerrands, just received a Swiss order for Krugerrands of an abnormal size. It now appears that no Krugerrands will be available at Rand Refinery until the 3rd of September.

I went to Rand Refinery's website and saw that the premiums charged for large amounts (50+) 1oz Krugerrands went upto 5%! And that will get a retail margin on top of it.

The trend we are now seeing is that there is a clear decoupling of physical gold prices and paper gold prices. Whilst it is suspected that large financials are selling their gold, demand for physical gold remains high and is even increasing at current prices. This results in rising premiums and many times in dealers having to refuse coin sales. A simple google search will lead you to websites of many bullion dealers around the world, where you can check what the difference is between bid & ask. Spreads have become enormous and at many websites, you will see that stocks are depleted. The situation with silver is quite similar or possibly even worse.

So, in other words, should you worry about the metals boom/bust-scenarios that you are reading now or about the gold price targets that most analysts have suddenly reduced to below $700, stop worrying. Don't take any risks and buy physical gold or silver rather than paper. We're approaching times where almost anyone will want to buy your coins or bars. Oh, and mining companies don't produce paper gold, so at some stage we will have to include the current premiums that are charged for physical gold into the valuations of mining companies.