dollar to continue weak, commodities to remain strong
posted on
Oct 22, 2009 01:40PM
SSO on the TSX, SSRI on the NASDAQ
jim willie discusses the dollar carry trade (and why the dollar will remain weak) and the "beijing put" (why gold will stay strong) and the near-failure to deliver gold in london. the paymentof a 25% bonus to settle contracts in cash means gold bullion is actually worth $1300/oz.
THE ‘BEIJING PUT’ AT WORK IN GOLD
China has begun to show its patterned behavior. They buy gold precisely at weak technical points, thus maximizing accumulation at optimal price. They buy gradually, thus permitting the market to bring more supply at prices as they ratchet higher. The Chinese Govt has become entrenched in an accumulation program of gold, expected to become a part of whatever new global reserve currency evolves. But as they buy in quantity, the price goes up in direct response, frustrating their intention to collect as much as possible, before any collapse of the USDollar. The Chinese are reportedly amplifying their purchases at points of weakness, dictated by technical analysis. In effect, the Chinese could be using a reverse strategy from technical analysis methods, dictated by chart patterns, by pressuring the bid harder with more purchases when the technical indicators say they should be selling. They would thus position themselves opposite to the USGovt, which routinely smacks gold down prior to USTreasury auctions, or when the USDollar threatens to break below support. They would also position themselves opposite to professional traders, who tend to follow the technicals and USGovt official control banter. The Chinese will continue to obstruct the gold interventions, as the US-UK fascist tagteam loses control.