The Y2K+8 Deflation Hoax
posted on
Aug 15, 2009 09:09PM
SSO on the TSX, SSRI on the NASDAQ
adrian douglas tells us that inflation is inevitable, and last year's deflationary scare was contrived by the government:
In the monetary system we have had since 1971 the US dollar is backed by nothing. However, there was a fascinating observation to be made from the credit crisis of 2008. When banks failed customers lined up for hours to retrieve their “money”. They were given cash in some cases but most often they were given a cashier’s check which is regarded by most people as the equivalent of cash! This is quite astonishing crowd behavior! It means that “currency” is the electronic dollars that are wired from bank to bank, or spent on debit or credit cards or by check while the “money” that is on deposit for which the electronic currency serves as a substitute is a hard copy paper voucher! In other words electronic dollars are backed by and redeemable in paper dollars, just as paper dollars were backed and redeemable in gold under the gold standard. Try not to laugh but that is exactly what can be observed! This is why the Gold Cartel, acting under orders of the US Government, hammered down the price of gold and silver with massive short selling in July 2008. It was imperative that paper money was viewed as the ultimate safe haven. People who withdrew dollars from the bank kept it at home. The Federal Reserve and the Government made sure that all comers got their cashiers check or paper dollars. So nobody lost any money from bank failures! Now every Friday one or two banks fail (73 have failed in 2009 at the time of writing!) and the people shrug and consider it totally irrelevant to their daily lives. The money supply growth by the Federal Reserve has declined but has not come close to becoming negative. But in 2008 assets were liquidated on a massive scale and as a result dollars were withdrawn from circulation by paying off debt or hoarding. This caused a temporary deflationary effect on prices of commodities, houses and financial assets and on discretionary consumer items. Borrowing by the public has nose dived but the Government has elected to borrow instead of the general public and is spending on a multi-trillion dollar scale, putting dollars back into circulation. As this circulation gathers pace price inflation will be the result, which is already becoming evident in the price of commodities, food items, health care, and the stock market. The massive contraction in economic activity and resulting GDP means there are far fewer goods and services on offer which will further amplify inflation. As the US dollar loses its purchasing power hoarded dollars will be sucked back into circulation and fuel even more inflation. The spending by the Government is not productive and does not invest in activities that will be self sustaining and that can generate future revenues in the absence of government stimulus spending. For this reason, the Government spending will become more addictive than heroine and the end result will inevitably be hyperinflation.
http://www.marketforceanalysis.com/index_assets/The%20Y2K%20plus%208%20Deflation%20Hoax.pdf