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Message: The Gold Stocks Are Still Undervalued

The Gold Stocks Are Still Undervalued

posted on Jul 19, 2009 01:57PM

according to jordan roy-byrne, mining stocks have plenty of room to run, as they are still 50% below their highs of a couple of years ago. but the caution is that the gains may not happen overnight.


ce: GoldSeek.com


Even after a massive recovery with sustained gains the gold stocks are still significantly undervalued. At the major highs of Gold $1030/oz and HUI 520, the costs to these companies were very high. Oil was high, steel was high and because of general inflation most costs were escalating. Now we have Gold 940, and HUI 350, but Oil and Steel are much lower. Also the local price of Gold everywhere except in the US and Japan is higher than at the peak in March 2008. If you mine in Canada, you care about the price of Gold in Canadian Dollars, not the regular quoted Gold price. That is because most of your costs are in Canadian Dollars.

Conclusion

The HUI would have to rise nearly 50% to reach its all time high. Yet, today key input costs are lower and the price of Gold in most currencies is higher today than in March of last year. These positive developments bode very well for gold sector earnings over the next several quarters and for share prices of course. And if can Gold can breakout on its own without the reflation trade, then gold stocks could be looking at spectacular gains over the next twelve to eighteen months. Remember though, just because something is undervalued, doesn’t mean it will become fully valued within days or weeks.

http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1247853429.php

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