The Silver Supply/Demand Imbalance
posted on
Jul 17, 2009 09:51AM
SSO on the TSX, SSRI on the NASDAQ
this is the mogambo guru again, in one of his more lucid moments (for him, anyway)
I try not to think about silver, because when I do, my head ends up whirling around at the sheer compelling nature of the fundamentals, and I always come to the conclusions that whirling makes me dizzy and that I need to buy more silver right away because silver is going to start exploding in price over the next few years, it could happen soon enough to do me some good, especially considering the sorry state of all alternative investments right now and the sorry state of just about everything right now, and by the fact that I am slashing the kids’ allowances to zero, freeing up some of the cash I will need!
But sometimes something comes along that makes me think about silver, such as David Morgan of the silver-investor.com site reporting that “during the past ten years, silver’s use in industry has gone from roughly 35% of the entire annual production in silver, to greater than 50%. Not only that, but it is the fastest growing area of the silver market.”
So how much silver was mined? Well, the commoditynewscenter.com notes that “According to the US Geological Survey, about 672m ounces of silver was mined in 2008. And with an average silver price of $14.94 per ounce, if all mined silver was sold at spot, the entire supply chain would generate revenues of only about $10 billion.”
It is statistics like these, coupled with the dismal fact of the virtual elimination of above-ground stocks of silver as the myriads of electronic devices produced over the decades consumed it all, that makes me look at the world with suspicious distrust, my eyes narrowed to slits and my hand inching under my jacket to the shoulder holster in case I have to blast my way out as I realize – to my dismay – that the creatures of this planet are so stupid that they can look at this silver thing, and yet not start buying silver right away! Weird! More than weird!
Even when I politely yell at them, “Hey! You are Really, Really Stupid (RRS) if you are not buying silver, and I hope your children are not as stupid as you, although they are every bit as ugly as you, ya morons!” they still don’t buy silver! Again, weird!