the following excerpt from recent writings by Bill Fleckenstein, one of the few money managers with the foresight to see what was about to unfold…
All regular readers are aware of the shortages of physical gold. (And, I think a lot of folks have found that out for themselves when they've tried to buy some coins.) What I haven't talked about lately is that gold lease rates have gone through the roof. That appears to be because central banks are becoming credit-adverse and not lending out their gold as they once did. I've also heard rumblings about some large holders of gold futures deciding to take delivery, since they're having trouble buying physical gold in sufficient size.
Lust for Gold Dust
If that's the case, it could cause a mad scramble at the COMEX, because there's not enough gold to meet the open interest. It looks like physical gold, as compared to paper gold, is rapidly becoming the flavor of the day -- meaning that a huge price move may lie just in front of us.
And, if that thesis is correct, when more folks start understanding it, there might not be enough gold around to satisfy demand at anywhere near current prices -- and their attention will turn to the place where they can find gold, namely the gold miners, whose job it is to "make" more. (With the price of energy dropping as world GDP slows, the profit potential for the gold miners is liable to be the best it has been in many years.) So, I think the stage may be set for a dramatic move in gold stocks.