Fred, tough to turn a Wall-Mart greeter into a hard-rock miner!
Reminds me a bit of the time we tracked what we thought was a moose for six hours in fresh fallen snow, only to find a "cow pie" on the trail! (and we were a long ways from "cow country" accompanied by a professional guide.)
There isn'nt a man, woman, economist, analyst or anyone else on this globe, be he Russian, Chinese, American or otherwise, who has a clear picture of what is about to unfold! (although the concensus is it won't be pretty!)
Hindsight will be our best indicator, possibly gold our most treasured possession. (although you can't eat it, gold that is!)
Maybe. . . . .
RUF