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Message: Price and volume....the chicken and the egg

Warning, another stream of conciousness post.....get the bottle out.

Given all the recent exposure RVX has had:

At the R&R show in NYC, the analyst presentation at the Yale Club, the investor conference this past week in Toronto.....with all that exposure I can't help but think there is the very real potential that RVX has a lot more eyes on it now than it has in the recent past.

So why isn't the PPS moving in light of all this activity? I think I have a possible answer.

This isn't 1998 anymore or even the year 2000.....imo investors are a lot more nervous now than they have been in years past. Over the past decade and bit investors and traders have seen all manner of ''sure winners'' fizzle into nothing. It doesn't matter whether its biotech, or regular tech, china based or mining stocks. There is never a shortage of companies out there being talked up with bullish sounding, but forward looking and safe harbour protected hyperbole.

Of course investors do still get roped in and end up holding the bag in high flyers like ESPR at $100+ or ZIOP at $14+ or LEJU at $20+ or MOBI at $10+.....all those stocks that I just mentioned....their current prices are nowhere near those values now.

What caused investors to jump into those stocks at historically elevated, and in some cases all time high prices? A number of factors played into it....email blasting chop shops hyping them certainly helped a bit, professional (and in some cases big name) analysts pounding the table and media outlets like CNBC touting them helped put them on the radar screens of the investing and trading public.

But I would argue that all the news/hype/promotion in the world wouldn't have done squat without a little MMM (Market Maker Manipulation) thrown in moving the PPS higher to get all those listening to the hype excited and greedy and buying hand over fist, even as a stock like ESPR went over $100 per share.

So back to RVX....yes we've had some nice exposure, going back to April there was even that BNN interview. You remember the end of that interview? When the lady talking to Don said, right at the end, something along the lines of: ''and of course it can all come apart''? Kind of prescient....a conspriacy theorist might almost think maybe she knew something as RVX went back under $3 and hasn't been back above since.

I'm looking at the $2.33 mark we hit this past September 3rd and thinking......that those who've been very recently exposed to RVX, that they're looking at that price too. Technical analysis and chart gazing are huge now compared with 15 or 20+ years back. Now trading alerts are sometimes generated for big volume days, or for when a stock's PPS climbs over certain key moving averages. Analysts will often include techincal indicators like moving averages, saying XYZ stock is currently traing at Z, its 50 day moving average is X and the 200 day is Q.

I think many who've put RVX on a watch list, that they're waiting to see if RVX can climb back over that $2.33 mark before they'll dip a toe in the water.

Why not buy now? Paying $1.80 or therabouts is a lot cheaper than waiting for $2.33.....but remember what I said before. Anyone who's invested/traded for any length of time has been burned, probably more than once. Yes, if RVX makes it back to $2.33 and goes higher an investor/trader has lost a lot of upside....but if it doesn't come, or if RVX trades lower....then they've saved themselves sitting with at best dead money and at worst....losses.

I firmly believe $2.33 is coming back, and much much more....but that's because I've had too much of the Kool Ade and I like it. By and large I think myself, and those who feel likewise, that we are a distinct minority.

If/when we get back to $2.33.....then I really believe we're going to see some volume move into RVX, provided it doesn't take months to get there. If by the end of the month we can get above that recent high, then I'll bet dollars to donuts that at least a decent number of the herd will show up.

But then, to get to $2.33 and higher...we're probably going to need to see volume seriously pick up. So what comes first, the volume move or a price move? The chicken or the egg?

Will the PPS not move until we get some volume? But will the volume stay low until the PPS gets higher?

I think we're going to have to see the oft mentioned (and throughly speculative and hypothetical) 'smart money' crowd step up and get us into at least 100K trading consistently on a daily basis.....and if that happens and the PPS can get above that key (as I see it) $2.33 resistance point....then I could see volume really exploding.

Stream of conciousness programming off

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