Brymstone
I agree with Dr Who, excellent writing.
I also believe your figures are quite conservative based on a comment Talismans geologist made on the DNB nor video presentation Jan 12 /10, stating the recoverable figures should go up substantially once the play starts to mature based on the experiences from the other shale plays.
Also, remember this is our first well and it was only an 8 stage frac, @ a week ago somebody posted the historical flow rates for I believe Southwestern, these were in the range of 14 to I believe 24, but they were up to 18 stage fracs, our flow rates will get much better.
Rocket