My Vancouver Notes
posted on
Jan 24, 2010 01:43PM
Creating shareholder wealth by advancing gold projects through the exploration and mine development cycle.
Vancouver Conference overview:
The conference in general had a bigger buzz to it than last year. One of the speakers noted the TSX Venture ran from the 800’s to over 1600’s in 2009. When there is this kind of “easy” money to be made there usually are fewer people showing up (let’s hope this is the case with KXL). That being said, this was the same speaker that showed a KXL chart to reference an example of companies which run up to great heights, spend lots of money then crash back down again. Hype is nice for a quick ride but to be sustainable in today’s marketplace, proving your discovery with a 43-101 is necessary. My personal feeling is a 43-101 will not keep your stock price up either. There are other critical factors the market will take into consideration such as all the foreseen hurdles to take the resources estimate to production. Add all the hurdles up and you will begin to setup a timeline to possible future cash flow. The longer this timeline, the more discounted today’s stock price will be. In any case, the 43-101 usually acts as a base platform to hold the stock price to at least some minimum value, which is exactly what KXL needs and is getting.
The KXL private investor’s discussion:
The KXL private investor’s discussion on Monday was extremely informative as usual. Why more people don’t make an effort to come to this, listen to Brian, and ask a few questions is astonishing. This time I counted 11 investors in attendance. Well actually 10 because I think 2 of them were a couple. Seriously, the price of a plane ticket is worth meeting face to face with the people running the company you have invested tens of thousands (if not more) of dollars in!!! Brian, my input for next year would be for you to bring a few bottles of wine so the few of us can get to know each other after your presentation. Either that or just hold it in a good pub! LOL
By the way, it was great to meet Cedartree. He has a great understanding of full project pipeline and asked many excellent questions. Now if he can just get agoracom to allow me to post using my iPhone!!!
Ok, here’s what’s going on:
The recent private placement:
My opinion going forward:
Brian put on a very good presentation which outlined clear objectives for the year. I like this and cannot say the same for last year. While other companies saw nice increases in stock prices, KXL went the opposite way because we were not able to prove otherwise. The market was left to guess on hype which is now a couple of years old. The good news is that with our share price having dropped so low, it has washed all past hype out of it. With clear objectives set forth for the year, there will be accompanying news flow. This news flow should have a better time determining where the correct price might be. Results will be everything beginning with the 43-101. Personally, I think the 43-101 will show a lower resource estimate than most people are hoping for, but then the market has already priced this in. Good results from further drilling at Hercules will then steadily increase the estimate. Add in new drilling from other projects and we have a formula for a healthy year. Let’s hope the market in general does too.
Best regards,
Doug