I think that "trading" experts probably are able to predict the SP for the next 1-2 months or so before we get any news. The guys doing this for a living must have run all sort of statistics on companies like Kodiak and others; generally dropping share price, end of year-tax loss selling, no news expected for a while; what next?

On the other hand, in the end it probably depends on who wins the SuperBall; right?