thanks for asking about Carnaval, but if I say more than it was a psychedlic looking show, best show I've ever seen, i might be bothering the off topic police (hey just teasing guys).

Re trading, that is not my game, especially from here, so i will have to watch while the traders make something of it.

as a kid my magic date for the break of the winter ice jams was always february 26, my own made-up date.  after that i expect the ice to start going away.  this winter it will be the thaw upwards on the stock price that i will be watching.

it's a game of results.