So, what's the man's math here?
Compared to last year, POET has:
- 3 on-going NREs
- More committed customers
- Much more visibility into production
- Much more underwriting on the technology (CAI and other design win)
- Realized a gain of $1M from SPX, meaning equipments are being shipped there for product assembly.
- [Insert the business update the other day]
To me, it looks like Kevin is trying to save face after a spectacularly miserable year for his forecasts. Setting low bar => easy beat => get his stars back.