HIGH-GRADE NI-CU-PT-PD-ZN-CR-AU-V-TI DISCOVERIES IN THE "RING OF FIRE"

NI 43-101 Update (September 2012): 11.1 Mt @ 1.68% Ni, 0.87% Cu, 0.89 gpt Pt and 3.09 gpt Pd and 0.18 gpt Au (Proven & Probable Reserves) / 8.9 Mt @ 1.10% Ni, 1.14% Cu, 1.16 gpt Pt and 3.49 gpt Pd and 0.30 gpt Au (Inferred Resource)

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Message: Global stainless steel output reaches new record in 2011 - ISSF

Friday, 23 Mar 2012

http://www.steelguru.com/stainless_steel_news/Global_stainless_steel_output_reaches_new_record_in_2011_ISSF/255798.html

The International Stainless Steel Forum has released preliminary data which indicates that stainless steel production grew by 3.3% in 2011. Total production was 32.1 million tonnes, a new record for a single year.

Although there was some destocking noted during the third quarter of 2011, this was partially compensated during the final three months of the year. The increase in 2011 production comes on top of a 25% increase in 2010 which followed the economic crisis of 2008/2009. The recovery of the industry proves that a century after its discovery and commercialization, stainless steel still has enormous potential for growth.

Not all of the stainless producing regions of the world have developed at the same pace in 2011. Excluding China, production in the Asia region declined by 2.7% to 8.8 million tonnes during 2011. In Taiwan, China production declined by 20.6%. Production in Japan declined by 5.3% to 3.2 million tonnes. By comparison, Korea (+5.3%) and India (+7.0%) increased their production of stainless during the year.

China has remained the driving force in stainless steel production with growth of 11.9% in 2011. The country produced 12.6 million tonnes of stainless during the year. Including China, Asian production now accounts for 66.5% of all the stainless steel produced in the world.

Stainless steel production in the Western Europe Africa region largely stagnated during 2011 with volume of just under 7.9 million tonnes. Growth rates of individual countries in the region ranged from -5% to +18%. In the Central and Eastern Europe region, production rose by 14.1% to 0.4 million tonnes, although volume is almost negligible in a global context. In the Americas, stainless production dropped to 2.5 million tonnes, a decrease of 4.7% compared to 2010.

Stainless crude steel production

Region FY '09 FY '10 YoY FY '10 FY '11 (p) YoY
Western Europe/Africa 6,449 7,878 22.2 7,878 7,875 0
Central and Eastern Europe 237 340 43.6 340 387 14.1
The Americas 1,942 2,609 34.4 2,609 2,486 -4.7
Asia (excluding China) 7,472 9,011 20.6 9,011 8,770 -2.7
China 8,805 11,256 27.8 11,256 12,592 11.9
World total 24,904 31,094 24.9 31,094 32,110 3.3


In '000 tonnes
Source: International Stainless Steel Forum

Comparing production for each quarter to 2010 shows that there were very different growth rates in the regions over the course of 2011. This reflects growing concerns about general global economic development and the destocking that occurred during the year. For example, in the first quarter of 2011 production grew by 8.7% as stainless steel stocks were replenished. Destocking took place in the second quarter (-0.8%), while the last two quarters of 2011 were relatively stock neutral, although in some regions destocking did occur.

Stainless crude steel production

Western Europe/Africa Central and Eastern Europe Americas Asia (excl China) China World total
Q1 '10 2,082 73 728 2,235 2,607 7,726
Q1 '11 2,216 85 779 2,238 3,076 8,395
% change 6.4 16.8 6.9 0.2 18 8.7
Q2 '10 2,223 89 671 2,278 2,862 8,123
Q2 '11 2,080 114 598 2,134 3,129 8,054
% change -6.4 26.9 -10.9 -6.3 9.3 -0.8
H1 '10 4,305 163 1,399 4,513 5,469 15,849
H1 '011 4,295 199 1,377 4,373 6,206 16,449
% change -0.2 22.3 -1.6 -3.1 13.5 3.8
Q3' 10 1,715 89 641 2,205 2,844 7,495
Q3 '11 1,683 104 553 2,220 3,170 7,730
% change -1.9 16.8 -13.8 0.7 11.5 3.1
Q4 '10 1,858 88 568 2,293 2,943 7,750
Q4 '11 1,898 84 557 2,177 3,215 7,931
% change 2.1 -4.1 -2 -5.1 9.3 2.3
H2 '10 3,573 177 1,210 4,498 5,787 15,245
H2' 11 3,580 188 1,110 4,397 6,386 15,661
% change 0.2 6.4 -8.3 -2.2 10.3 2.7


In '000 tonnes
Source: International Stainless Steel Forum

Market share by grade
Over the past few years, the stainless steel market has seen major changes in the grades of stainless produced. Chromium-manganese grades have become increasingly important in this time. More recently, production of chromium grades has also increased. Table 3 shows the market share of the three main categories of stainless steel. The data is based on reports from ISSF’s stainless steel producing members.

Stainless steel production by grade (% of stainless steel production preliminary estimates)

Grade category Q1 '11 Q2 '11 Q3 '11 Q4 '11 FY '11 (p)
Chromium manganese steels (200 series) 13.4 13.6 13.7 14.4 13.8
Chromium nickel steels (300 series) 59.5 57.3 58.4 57.6 58.2
Chromium steels (400 series) 27.1 29.1 28 28 28


Source - International Stainless Steel Forum

(www.steelguru.com)

Following is a table of the world's 10 biggest producers of refined nickel in 2011 by output, compiled by London based metals consultancy CRU.

Rank Company Production
1 OAO GMK Norilsk Nickel 286
2 Vale SA 206
3 Jinchuan Group Ltd 127
4 Xstrata Plc 106
5 BHP Billiton Ltd 83
6 Sumitomo Metal Mining Co 65
7 Eramet SA 54
8 Anglo American Plc 48
9 Sherritt International Corp 35
10 Minara Resources Ltd 30


In '000 tonnes

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