FWR has 252,106,467 fully diluted shares
If NOT gets say exactly 12.5% FWR shares, that works out to 31,502,058 FWR shares
For this, they would have given up 9,000,588 NOT shares (3.5 to 1)
At Friday's closing price, the cost to NOT at $2.09/share works out to a cost of $18,811,228
Now, if they are able to sell all those FWR shares for $1.00, they get $31,502,058
Divide this by the number of NOT shares they gave up to aquire the FWR shares and we get $3.50 per NOT share
In the end, this would be equivalent to doing a PP at $3.50 per NOT share with a warrant to buy 1 NOT share for $4.00 anytime in the next 5 years. Not bad when your shares are trading for only $2.09.
This is assuming of course that they were successful in gaining 12.5% of FWR shares and that it is legal for them to sell the newly aquired shares to Cliffs.
It's not likely they could have convinced institutions to go along with such a PP; but they may have convinced retail to do so. (I say convinced....others may use stronger language)
Open for comments