Please see disclaimers on the last two pages of this report.
Mining & Minerals
Noront Resources Ltd. (NOT-V, $2.31)
Recommendation: Buy
Steve Parsons, P. Eng (416) 640-4950;
sparsons@wwcm.com
Ryan Walker (416) 640-4971;
rwalker@wwcm.com
November 23, 2009
All values in C$ unless otherwise noted.
Current Price $2.31
Target Price (12-Month) $2.80
Target Return 21%
Changes
Old New
Recommendation Buy Unchanged
Target $2.50 $2.80
Company Profile
Noront Resources Ltd. is a Canadian-listed
exploration company focused on the 100%-
owned McFauld’s Lake nickel-copperplatinum-
palladium (chromite, gold, and
vanadium) project in the James Bay
Lowlands of northern Ontario.
www.norontresources.com
Cliffs Natural Resources Bid for Freewest
Legitimizes McFauld’s Chromite District
•
Cliffs’ all-share $0.55/sh bid values Freewest’s chromite at $118mm.
Values FWR’s Black Thor, Black Label & 50% of Big Daddy chromite at
$118mm; validates our $150mm valuation of NOT’s Blackbird.
•
Bid could spur further M&A in the Ring of Fire chromite camp.
Early days, but increased potential of low-cost production from the Ring
of Fire could force power-challenged South African producers into action.
•
Potential development by Cliffs could ease Noront’s operating costs.
Potential to share regional infrastructure developed by Cliffs could help
ease Noront’s future operating costs – trucking versus hoverbarging.
•
Maintain Buy rating; increasing target to $2.80 from $2.50.
Target based on a 0.85x multiple of NAV
10%
of $3.31/sh ($3.17/sh old).
See up to $4/sh by selling chromite/PGM stream & exploration success.
Financial Summary
Shares, basic (mm) 163.6 52-Week Range $0.435 - $3.01
Shares, f.d. (mm) 173.5 Avg Weekly Volume 6,120,391
Shares, f.d., f.f. (mm) (1) 216.7 Fiscal Year End Jan-31
Market Cap (mm) $374.7 NAV/Share, f.d., f.f.(1) $3.31
Working Capital (mm) $40.4 P/NAV 0.7 x
Key Properties: Status: Eagle's Nest (LOM avg))
Eagle's Nest, Canada (100%) Annual Ni production - payable (000 lbs) 29,548
Polymetallic, Ni-Cu-PGM Annual Cu production - payable (000 lbs) 18,327
Total Cash Costs (US$/lb Ni, after credits) 0.80
Blackbird, Canada (100%) Estimated start date H1/2015
Chromite Pre-Feas for Eagle's Nest H2/10
Key Management: Strategic Shareholders:
Wes Hanson President and CEO Management (2%)
Joseph Hamilton Chairman
Paul Semple COO
Gregory Rieveley CFO
James Atkinson Director of Exploration
(1) Assumes positive development decision on Eagle's Nest and associated equity issue.
Source: WWCM Estimates, Company Reports