Commodity Prices move too far and too fast over the next 4- 8 weeks they may not be able to sustain their rapid recovery. With that said, if they do continue to show a steady improvement and not over shoot their sustainble support level we may will see them hold very nicely through to the Fall. One stipulation on this is the various Government Stimulus Plans and how smoothly they kick into effect. An added steadying factor will be smooth and continuous progress in terms of Proper Regulation of Credit Markets and Banking Systems. With the new Demand/NEED for Residental Appartment Accomidations (for the Masses failing to have their Home Mortgages renewed, lol), even the private Residential Construction Industry in the US is showing some very decent Improvement. Interesting how new demand rises from existing Gluts!
Old Joe
Here are some Commodity Futures Pricing Indicators. Oil is also moving Up in Seasonal Demand Increase Expectations - though some may say it is due to OPEC Production Cuts and or an early indication of initial Economic Recovery, only time will really tell:
S&P GSCI MOVERS |
COMMODITY |
PRICE |
CHG |
%CHG |
GAS OIL FUT (ICE) (USD/MT) |
403.250 |
22.000 |
5.77 |
LME NICKEL FUTURE (USD/MT) |
10041.000 |
490.000 |
5.13 |
HEATING OIL FUTR (USd/gal.) |
126.740 |
5.440 |
4.48 |
LME COPPER FUTURE (USD/MT) |
3813.000 |
160.500 |
4.39 |
LME LEAD FUTURE (USD/MT) |
1292.000 |
46.500 |
3.73
|