I have to jump into this one as I think I understand where Snezz is coming from. We had a good discussion on the subject ( and many others) during a round table sort of meeting during the Vancouver conference.
For a long term player there is no better place than NOT in the ROF, that fact has been beaten to death here by persons far more capable than me. However due to the everchanging situation that inadvertantly happens when several companies are involved in a very active drilling campaign (as we are seeing in the ROF),a situation has risen that suggests there could be a very good chance for some short term gain (FWR). That this short term possibility could turn into a long term one is only icing on the cake.
There are many different players invested in NOT as well as others in the ROF. At opposite ends of the range are Snezzer and myself. Snezzer has a finite amount of cash available for investing. He has chosen to dump it all into NOT. In my opinion he has made a wise choice, and at some point in the future he will reap the rewards.
As for myself, I have many plays in the ROF as well as elsewhere. I have been an active investor for the better part of 35 years. I recently had a long term investment (12 year Manitoba Gov't bond) mature at year end. When this cash came available, I looked around and determined that FWR is the most likely to give a gain in the short term. Thus, though I like FWR for the short term. it should not reflect on my investment in NOT, which I hold just as dearly as does Snezzer.
I do apologise to Snezzer for using a comparison of our circumstances for this example.
Regards
K