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HIGH-GRADE NI-CU-PT-PD-ZN-CR-AU-V-TI DISCOVERIES IN THE "RING OF FIRE"

NI 43-101 Update (September 2012): 11.1 Mt @ 1.68% Ni, 0.87% Cu, 0.89 gpt Pt and 3.09 gpt Pd and 0.18 gpt Au (Proven & Probable Reserves) / 8.9 Mt @ 1.10% Ni, 1.14% Cu, 1.16 gpt Pt and 3.49 gpt Pd and 0.30 gpt Au (Inferred Resource)

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Message: Re: What will a warrant holder do? - Babao

Very good account of possabilities! This post of yours is among the best accounts I can recall. I think you covered my point of interest without making it a central focus of your post.

One speculative issue to consider is: Does Noront want any cash proceeds from exercised Warrants?

This is but a point needing to be thought on. There can still be interesting days ahead with respect to the Warrant issue. Explaining it in detail could be tedious and I will leave it to each individual to refer to your post here as a good mechanism for those desiring to do some thought work so as to be aware of possable implications on trading activity over the next month, though only time will tell what actually transpires.

To make reference to yor post a little easire for every one it is pasted below.

Old Joe

 

What will a warrant holder do?

Posted by: Babaoriley on March 12, 2008 12:46AM

They now have to exercise by April 10, but if they do exercise, they hold restricted securities until June 7, which is almost two months.  In a volatile stock, in a volatile market, that is a virtual epoch, and, accordingly, not at all an insignificant risk.

 Surely, if they intend to exercise, they will wait until the last day (there is no benefit to exercising early, and there could be great benefit to waiting till the last day, eg, the stock could plunge the day before to a price where it would make no sense to exercise).

 Soooooo, what to do?  I think some may well sell their unrestricted stock at some point between now and April 10, in order to lock in some profit on the warrants, and eliminate the risk of just exercising without having earlier or simultaneously sold an equal number of unrestricted shares (or some smaller number, of course, depending on risk tolerance).  And if they think along those lines, why not sell sooner, rather than later?  The bird was in the hand as of just before closing today, that would have been the safest time to sell and lock the profit.  Once trading closed today, all bets are off, the stock could soar, plummet, or stagnate (this last is the least likely!), and could certainly soar or plummet at any moment.  (If these warrant holders don't have any more unrestricted stock, they can merely sell some short.)

 Put yourself in a warrant holder's shoes:  it's 3:30 on April 10, and NOT stock is trading for $5.70.  Do you exercise, do you pass, do you sell unrestricted stock and then exercise?  Do you regret not selling on March 12 for $6.50?

And if selling any stock was not something you cared to do, at what price do you exercise? What's the negative value of that almost two month restriction?

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