If you have followed dued`s posts at all you know he is good at - 1)claiming to have confidential contacts that supply him with the info you are now questioning. He can`t tell you who the contacts are or how they know the info, 2) claiming after the fact that he knew a certain scenario was going to happen, but again his confidential info/contacts precluded him from divulging these facts beforehand.

My take on him - sometimes he seems to have some insightful analysis, but it always has to be taken with a grain of salt as he likes to spew unsubstantiated ``facts``. I give him a 3 on a scale of 10 in credibility.