if you take the first 500-700 electronic companys in the wourld and know that from this companys 60 already have pay a licence than i think we can take maybe this numbers
#1-10 20-25mil. early bird special only 50% player left without the bird 150mil. left
#11-20 10-15 mil. 50% 100mil. left
21-50 5-10mil. 50% 150mil. left
51-100 3-5mil. 50% 125mil.
101- 200 1-3mil 200
201-500 1mil. 300
501- ? 200
thats are all together 1,2billion left : 2 means 600millionen dollar before tax or 1.50 eps thats : 5 years eps 30cent in a year posible only this x 5 bring the pps to 1.50 a share but posible are also x 10-20 or 3-6 dollar i dont know but thats are the posible numbers i think