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Message: Re: CC Notes / Financing and Partnership Discussion
6
Feb 11, 2013 07:58PM

Feb 11, 2013 08:33PM

Feb 11, 2013 09:09PM

Feb 11, 2013 09:13PM

Feb 11, 2013 09:15PM

Feb 12, 2013 09:19AM

Feb 12, 2013 11:05AM

Here is how I see the financials for the near future.

12/31/2012 Cash

61,000,000

Mann LOC

120,000,000

Proceeds from 46,000,000 3rd party Oct. 15, 2013 warrants exercised

89,700,000

Proceeds from 40,000,000 of Mann's Oct. 15, 2013 warrants exercised

78,000,000

Reduction in LOC from Mann's warrant exercise

-78,000,000

12/15/2013 Convertible matures

-115,000,000

Total cash available for 2013

155,700,000

Cash required in 2013 assuming an $11,000,000 burn rate

-132,000,000

Cash surplus on 12/31/2013

23,700,000

The note payable to Mann matures on 1/1/2014

350,000,000

I suspect that if there is no alternative financing at this time, Mann will be forced -- as he has done several times in the past -- to extend the maturity.

Russell, You are correct that the warrants will not be exercised before maturity. It is never economic to exercise calls on non-dividend paying stock. Even if the calls are deep in the money (and you assume that there is no time value), there is no advantage to paying for shares before you have to; this would incur an additional cost equivalent to interest on the strike price for the period from early exercise up to the expiration date.

All of the Oct 2013 warrants give the holder the right to buy 0.75 shares for 2.60 per share.

So, my take is that there probably are no financial concerns in 2013, but something has to happen by 1/1/2014. Either a partner agreement, a sale of the company, or Mann extends his LOC.

The only way they can retire the LOC is if they get cash from some other source, so maybe this is hinting at a partnership.

Good data in August will remove most of the concerns and should ease the financial concerns by putting them in a good position to negotiate a partnership or a sale.

There was an interesting thread on the yahoo message board on the likelihood of a buyout. Maybe this is what is planned.

http://finance.yahoo.com/mbview/threadview/?&bn=0243242e-59fb-3abc-8d27-962c7bf26a1d&tid=1360682619874-d5547a50-18d5-4a93-a4be-f5c34c88c360&tls=la%2Cd%2C7

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