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Message: Crash scenarios

Crash scenarios

posted on Sep 24, 2008 10:01AM

Thank you all for your thought-provoking ideas!

I am trying to imagine how things might happen from here on in; particularly, in the case of a stock market crash.

As SB has pointed out, the markets are looking mighty weak, and I feel that if they crash, we will all be anxiously waiting with the same question: Will Kimber and others like it be dragged down in the crash?

One possibility is that the recent deleveraging by hedge funds has cleansed PM stocks, and that they will be less affected by the crash. In addition, they should be the first to benefit when money comes back in to the market.

Another possibility is that everything will take a mighty hit.

The second possibility is of a tricky nature because, if one decides to get out now and wait for the drop, there may not be sufficient time/liquidity to get back in when the rocket ride begins.

Any thoughts would be appreciated.

stone

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