Hathor Exploration Limited | Eric Zaunscherb, CFA
posted on
Nov 08, 2009 07:35PM
Hathor Exploration Limited | Eric Zaunscherb, CFA,
HAT : TSX-V : C$1.81 | C$165.0M | Speculative Buy , Target C$4.50
•Roughrider resource revealed; C$4.50 target and SPECULATIVE BUY rating maintained
Event
Hathor Exploration has announced the initial NI 43-101 compliant resource estimate for the
Roughrider zone on its 90%-owned Midwest NorthEast project, Athabasca Basin,
Saskatchewan. Hathor reported 116,000 tonnes indicated grading 2.57% U3O8 and 83,000
tonnes inferred grading 3.00% U3O8 for 12.0 million pounds U3O8 on a global basis.
Impact – Positive
Although our conceptual resource estimate for Roughrider is 20 million pounds of U3O8,
the NI 43-101 compliant resource process is highly constrained. We had been guiding
toward an initial resource of 10 million pounds U3O8. Our target was exceeded by
approximately 20%.
Valuation and action
We maintain our valuation approach albeit with increased confidence. We value the
Roughrider zone using a DCF(10%) model based on the nearby Midwest project feasibility
study. We generate a total project NAV of C$522 million, or C$5.72 per share. We apply a
0.7x target project P/NAV multiple to generate our C$4.50 per share target. The 149%
projected return supports a SPECULATIVE BUY rating. Although some may be
disappointed by the initial Roughrider compliant resource, we recommend exploiting this
disappointment as the release of chemical assays from impactful Hole MWNE-09-170 is
imminent.