Re: Don't Steal
posted on
Jan 11, 2013 05:18PM
Golden Minerals is a junior silver producer with a strong growth profile, listed on both the NYSE Amex and TSX.
Baddy,
As you admit to not having a university degree, I suggest it would be impossible for you to realize that this:
"Both silver and gold broke above...and then closed above...their respective 200-day moving averages yesterday."
The gold price was flat during early trading in Hong Kong, but the moment the dollar index started to roll over, the gold price began to develop a positive bias during the late afternoon in the Far East...and into the London open.
Gold got sold down a bit once the London noon silver fix was in...and was only up a couple of bucks when Comex trading began at 8:20 a.m. Eastern time.
Then the dollar index took a tumble...and the gold price headed north. Almost all of the day's gains were in by 10:30 a.m. Eastern, even though the dollar index continued to decline at a pretty good clip after that. From there, gold traded flat...and then faded a bit in late electronic trading.
Gold's low price tick of around $1,654 came early in Far East trading...and the high tick in New York was $1,680.10 spot.
Gold finished the Thursday session at $1,674.80 spot...up $16.80. Net volume was fairly light at around 130,000 contracts.
Up until the Comex open, silver followed a similar path to gold's...and also giving away all its overnight gains once the London silver fix was in at noon GMT...and was virtually unchanged by 8:20 a.m. in New York.
After surging in price during the first thirty minutes of trading, the silver price worked its way slowly higher up until 2:00 p.m. in the electronic market, before getting sold off a bit into the 5:15 p.m. close.
Silver's low tick in early Far East trading was around 30.25 spot...and the New York high checked in at $31.05 spot.
Silver closed at $30.86 spot...up 50 cents from Wednesday. Volume was decent at around 48,500 contracts.
The dollar index opened at 80.61...virtually on its high of the day...and stayed slightly above that mark until around 2:00 p.m. in Hong Kong before a slow selloff began. This slow decline in the index lasted until 8:30 a.m. in New York...and then headed south with a vengeance from there. The low tick [79.69] came minutes after 2:00 p.m. Eastern...and then recovered a handful of basis points, closing the Thursday session at 79.79...down 82 basis points from Wednesday.
Considering the magnitude of the decline in the dollar index, one should have expected bigger gains in the precious metals...because they would have certainly 'fallen' more than that if the index had risen that amount.
The gold stocks gapped up at the open and then climbed steadily until around 10:15 a.m. in New York...and then crept higher for the rest of the day, selling off a hair during the last thirty minutes that the equity markets were open. The HUI finished up 2.31%.
The silver stocks did pretty well on the day, but Nick Laird's Intraday Silver Sentiment Index was dragged down by the news out of Silver Standard Resources, so it only finished up 0.87%.
(Click on image to enlarge)
The CME's Daily Delivery Report showed that 9 gold and 11 silver contracts were posted for delivery on Monday from within the Comex-approved depositories.
For the third day in a row, an authorized participant withdrew gold from GLD. This time it was 67,780 troy ounces. But SLV had its second deposit in a row, as an authorized participant added 677,141 ounces of silver yesterday.
Well, the new updated short positions for both GLD and SLV for the end of December were posted on the shortsqueeze.com Internet site late last night. Both Ted and I were expecting/hoping to see big declines, especially in silver, since 6.0 million ounces were deposited in SLV during the reporting period.
But, alas, it was not to be.
The short position in SLV increased by another 2,892,600 shares/ounces...which works out to an increase of 13.15%. The short position now sits at 24,897,800 shares/ounces...and that translates into a short position 7.64% of all outstanding shares of SLV.
The short position in GLD increased by 'only' 802,100 shares, or 80,210 troy ounces...which works out to an increase of 5.43% from the previous report. The short position in GLD now sits at 15,575,200 shares, or about 1.56 million ounces of gold...3.62% of the outstanding shares of GLD.
In tonnage, it would require a bit of 774 tonnes of silver to cover the entire SLV short position...more than twelve days of world silver production. In gold, the amount required to cover all short positions is 49.0 tonnes...about seven days of world gold production.
One can only imagine what the prices of gold and silver would be if JPMorgan Chase et al had to go into the open market a buy all this metal to cover their short positions. I'm speculating here, but I'd guess that 90% of the short positions in both GLD and SLV are held by these bullion banks.
The U.S. Mint had another big sales report. They sold 12,500 ounces of gold eagles...9,500 one-ounce 24K gold buffaloes...and 345,000 silver eagles.
The Comex-approved depositories reported that 614,226 ounces of silver were received on Wednesday...and 150,114 troy ounces were shipped out the door. The link to that activity is here.
I don't have too many stories for you today, so I hope you have the time to at least skim everything that I've posted below...and can find the time for must watch/reads.
Jim Grant spends exactly the correct amount of time (zero) discussing the "urban myth' of the trillion dollar coin in this brief interview on CNBC; instead deciding to try and strike up some intelligent understanding of the dire situation we face. By providing context for our massive 16 trillion dollar debt (360 million pounds of $100 bills), and explaining how exponential the idiocy has become, Grant brings us full circle as he explains to the money-honey that once upon a time our debt was backed by gold, and "there was only so much gold and so many dollars," thus limiting our exuberance, but "now we have neither the gold covering the dollar nor do we have interest rates constraining us [thanks to Bernanke et al.]; the only thing remaining to constrain us is some sort of civil discussion, a numerate discussion about the debt," which it appears the bespectacled and bow-tie-bound bond brain-box hopes is possible.
"The debt has increased twice as fast as federal receipts," he warns, adding correctly that "the United States is truly submerging."
This must watch 7:09 minute video was embedded in a short cover story over at Zero Hedge...and I thank reader U.D. for sharing it with us. The link is here.
The infamous Troubled Assets Relief Program that bailed out Wall Street in 2008 – is over. The Treasury Department announced it will be completing the sale of the remaining shares it owns of the banks and of General Motors.
But in reality it’s not over. The biggest Wall Street banks are now far bigger than they were four years ago when they were considered too big to fail. The five largest have almost 44 percent of all US bank deposits.
That’s up from 37 percent in 2007, just before the crash. A decade ago they had just 28 percent.
The biggest banks keep getting bigger because they can borrow more cheaply than smaller banks. That’s because investors believe the government will bail them out if they get into trouble, rather than force them into a form of bankruptcy (as the new Dodd-Frank law makes possible).
That’s why it’s necessary to limit their size and break up the biggest.
This short, but absolute must read story was posted on the ukprogressive.co.uk Internet site on Wednesday...and I borrowed it from yesterday's edition of the King Report. The link is here.
A lot of people are wondering what to think about the news that the board of AIG is considering joining the lawsuit filed by former AIG head Maurice "Hank" Greenberg against the Fed and the U.S. government – a suit that one news outlet describes as charging the state with handing out an "insufficiently generous bailout."
The editorial in today's Daily News captures the public feeling over this confusing news story quite well, I think...
If chutzpah were a crime, Hank Greenberg, American International Group's former chief, would be going away for a long, long time.
Long since driven out of AIG, Greenberg is waging a lawsuit claiming the U.S. hurt the firm's shareholders — including him — when the government rescued the insurance giant with the most humongous bailout of all time.
Matt Taibbi goes ballistic over this...and takes quite a few words to rip Hank a new one, with a lot of those words being of the naughty variety. This "R" rated essay was posted over at the Rolling Stone magazine website on Wednesday...and I thank Roy Stephens for bringing it to our attention. The link is here.
Warren Buffett, the billionaire investor who oversees stakes in some of the largest U.S. banks, said the nation’s lenders have rebuilt capital to the point where they no longer pose a threat to the economy.
“The banks will not get this country in trouble, I guarantee it,” Buffett, chairman and chief executive officer of Omaha, Nebraska-based Berkshire Hathaway Inc., said in a phone interview last week. “The capital ratios are huge, the excesses on the asset side have been largely cleared out.”
Lenders including Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc. have sold assets, cut jobs and bolstered balance sheets after repaying taxpayer bailouts from 2008, when the companies were overwhelmed by losses on securities tied to the housing market. Those actions helped boost financial stocks last year and increased the value of Berkshire’s holdings.
Warren's father would disown him if he could see how badly his son had sold out to William Jennings Bryan's "Money Trusts". Warren is now a paid whore of the powers that be. It's been sad to watch him fall into the grasp of Mordor over the years. This Bloomberg story was posted on their website late yesterday afternoon...and I thank reader Paul Laviers for finding it for us. The link is here.
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau announced new rules for mortgages at midnight Thursday.
The rules, which take effect in January of 2014, require lenders to consider a customer's ability to repay a loan before extending credit. They also provide a safe-harbor for lenders from borrower lawsuits claiming that a loan's terms were unfair.
If it strikes you as odd that a lender needs to be told by the government that it should consider the ability of its customers to repay a loan, you are not alone. I know some loans seem so stupid that it's hard to believe that whoever made it thought he'd be repaid. We just went through a financial crisis the proximate cause of which was, after all, lots of people not being able to pay their loans. But nearly all those loans were made under the (perhaps delusional) belief that they would be repaid one way or another.
Lenders want to be repaid. Even a lender that sells loans to investors or repackages them as securities needs to provide reassurance that a borrower can repay the loan. If you aren't planning on getting repaid, you aren't really a lender at all. You're a charity.
The story was posted on the CNBC Internet site late yesterday afternoon...and I thank West Virginia reader Elliot Simon for sending it along. The link is here.
Clinton was named the “Father of the Year” by the National Father’s Day Council on Wednesday.
The group selected Clinton for his “profound generosity, leadership and tireless dedication to both his public office and many philanthropic organizations,” Dan Orwig, chairman of the National Father’s Day Committee, said in the announcement.
The award will be presented at a luncheon in June.
WTF? Words fail me! For a moment I thought it was April Fool's Day...but it's only January 11th...even here in Canada. This blessedly short item from the politico.com Internet site yesterday is the second story in this column that I plucked from yesterday's King Report. The link is here.
The U.S. warnings on British exit from the EU are boilerplate American diplomacy. Washington has been saying these things ever since I started following the matters closely almost 25 years ago.
The Americans are correct in a narrow sense. British withdrawal would be a major blow to U.S. strategic interests. Washington relies on the EU to be broadly friendly, a pillar of global free trade, stable, and calm.
The White House does not want to be distracted by internecine European disputes as it switches its main focus to the Pacific Rim – the "Asian Pivot" – and deals with the really dangerous issue of China’s maritime conflict with Japan and South East Asia.
The U.K. is the crucial swing vote in the E.U. system, as I witnessed many times during my Brussels days.
Ambrose had been around the block a few times in his career before he began working at The Telegraph...and because of that, this blog of his from yesterday is also an absolute must read. It's Roy Stephens second offering in today's column...and the link is here.
On the campaign trail, Francois Hollande pleased working-class voters with promises of a super-tax on millionaires and sought to reassure foreign investors with commitments to restore public finances and revive French industry.
But now as he starts 2013 and his eighth month as president, the Socialist's clumsy handling of those promises has turned the public mood against him, created the impression among many entrepreneurs that he is anti-business and prompted smirking foreign leaders to offer refuge to French tax exiles.
Although Hollande and his parliamentary allies can look forward to a four-year run before facing re-election, those policy and PR gaffes risk hobbling him just as he embarks on what could be the decisive phase of his five-year mandate, with plans to set in motion long-talked-about labor, welfare and pension reforms in the euro zone's second-largest economy.
This longish Reuters essay was posted on the cnbc.com Internet site just before the markets closed in New York yesterday afternoon. I thank Elliot Simon for his second story in today's column...and the link is here.
he first is with Sprott Inc. President Kevin Bambrough...and it's headlined "Gold to Dwarf 1970s Move by Smashing Through $6,000". The second blog is with Egon von Greyerz. It's entitled "Swiss Gold Refiners Overwhelmed, Major Delays in Deliveries".
"Ever heard of SB3341?" is Rick Santelli's opening salvo in today's rant-less discussion of the concerns he has with Illinois' 'Precious Metal Purchasing Act'. While passed in the Illinois Senate last year, and moth-balled in the House since, Rick notes that "the long and short of it is, is they want an audit trail to any precious metals, whether you're talking coins or bullion."
This must watch 2:29 minute video is contained in a Zero Hedge piece from yesterday afternoon...and it's another offering from Elliot Simon. Rick Santelli even mentions GATA in passing...and the link is here.
Many hours before Rick Santelli and Zero Hedge picked up on this infamous bill, Washington state reader S.A. had slid a copy of it into my in-box early yesterday morning.
So if you want to 'read all about it'...it's posted on the ilga.gov Internet site...and the link is here.
Commenting on CNBC yesterday about legislation in bankrupt and murder-plagued Illinois to require registration of every gold transaction, Rick Santelli tossed out GATA's name as an aside, as if the organization is known to everyone who pays attention to the gold market.
Unfortunately Santelli did so by remarking that "GATA has a lot of conspiracy theories." We're glad of almost any recognition in the mainstream financial news media -- call us anything, just not late for dinner -- but rather than a "conspiracy theory" organization, GATA collects, analyzes, and publicizes public record of manipulation of the gold market, such as the records compiled in the documentation section of our Internet site.
The link to this GATA release that contains the link to the documentation section, is here.
Jim Sinclair tonight calls attention to a petition started at the White House Internet site calling upon the U.S. government to audit the U.S. gold reserve -- and to account for any surreptitious ownership claims to the gold.
The petition reads in part: "The gold bars need to be assayed and weighed. Once the gold is verified the paper trail must be audited to determine who really owns the gold; i.e., how much has been loaned to bankers and dealers and sold or swapped to non-Treasury entities including foreign governments. The audit must include professional auditors outside of the Mint, Treasury, GAO, Inspector General, and Federal Reserve system."
If 25,000 people electronically sign the petition, the White House is obliged to forward it to policy experts for review and to make a public statement about it.
The rest of this excellent GATA release is a must read as well...and the link is here.
Interviewed by Tekoa Da Silver at Bull Market Thinking, Doug Casey of Casey Research remarks that the shares of junior gold mining companies are now cheaper relative to gold itself than they have ever been. "So if somebody wants to participate in that highly volatile, very speculative space, now is the perfect time to do it," Casey says.
I found this must read interview embedded in a GATA release yesterday. It's posted at Bull Market Thinking's Internet site...and the link is here.
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Because the evidence surrounding JPMorgan during 2012 has grown so clear and compelling, I can’t help but feel that the day of resolution must be close at hand. Certainly, there is more public awareness and anger at JPMorgan’s role in manipulating the price of silver than ever before. If I hadn’t written personally to each member of JPMorgan’s board of directors in August, accusing the bank of wrongdoing and received no reply, I would have bet you such an occurrence was impossible. If I didn’t send every one of my articles to JPM, the CME and the CFTC, I would have bet you that such notifications could not be answered by continued silence. Then again, I would have bet you, back in September 2008 that the CFTC couldn’t possibly stall on a formal investigation into silver for more than four years. - Silver analyst Ted Butler...09 January 2013
It's a reasonable assumption that almost all of yesterday's price activity in the precious metals was related to the swan dive in the dollar index yesterday. But, as I noted above, I felt that the price moves in the precious metals should have been larger...all things considered.
However, having said that, both silver and gold broke above...and then closed above...their respective 200-day moving averages yesterday, again...and it will be interesting to see if there's any follow-through during the New York session today, as their certainly wasn't any in the Far East or early London trading session as of 3:29 a.m. Eastern time this morning. Since the move yesterday was mostly currency related, there may not be.
Today we get both the Commitment of Traders Report...and this month's Bank Participation Report. Since both are generated from the same data set, it's the one time per month that we get to compare apples to apples...and compare the short positions in the COT report to the U.S. bullion banks short positions.
As I've mentioned a couple of times this week already, both Ted Butler and myself are expecting to see big improvements in the Commercial/bullion bank net short positions after the in-your-face engineered price declines in silver and gold that occurred on January 3rd and 4th, as that data will be in these reports. I'll have all the pertinent information in my column tomorrow.
As I said a couple of paragraphs ago, it was as quiet as the proverbial church mouse in Far East trading during their Friday session...and that lack of price activity has carried over into the London open....and both metals began to slide lower right from the beginning...and as I hit the 'send' button at 5:00 a.m. Eastern time, gold is down five bucks...and silver is down about 15 cents. Volumes are already very decent for this time of day...but there are no roll-overs worth mentioning, so it's a good bet that most of this volume is high-frequency trading related. The dollar index is dead.
As Doug Casey pointed out in today's last story, the precious metal stocks have never been this cheap versus the price of gold itself. So I'd like to remind you one more time that there's still an opportunity to either readjust your portfolio, or get fully invested in the continuing major up-leg of this bull market in both silver and gold...and I respectfully suggest that you take out a trial subscription to either Casey Research's International Speculator [junior gold and silver exploration companies], or BIG GOLD [large producers], with all our best [and current] recommendations...as well as the archives. Don't forget that our 90-day guarantee of satisfaction is in effect for both publications.
That's it for today. Enjoy your weekend...or what's left of it, if you live west of the International Date Line...and I'll see you here tomorrow.
And this:
http://www.caseyresearch.com/gsd/home
or one and the same.
Good Luck to all!