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Message: Einhorn says gold still seems like a very good idea!!!!

David Einhorn Explains How Ben Bernanke Is Destroying America

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/25/2012 - 20:50 American Express Bank of England Ben Bernanke Ben Bernanke Bond Cyclicality David Einhorn European Central Bank Fail fixed Gilts Gross Domestic Product Japan keynesianism Krugman Monetary Policy Monetization New Normal None Paul Krugman Reality Recession recovery The Economist Unemployment

"We have just spent 15 years learning that a policy of creating asset bubbles is a bad idea, so it is hard to imagine why the Fed wants to create another one. But perhaps the more basic question is: How fruitful is the wealth effect? Is the additional spending that these volatile paper profits are intended to induce overwhelmed by the lost consumption of the many savers who are deprived of steady, recurring interest income? We have asked several well-known economists who publicly support the Fed’s policy and found that they don’t have good answers. If Chairman Bernanke is setting distant and hard-to-achieve benchmarks for when he would reverse course, it is possibly because he understands that it may never come to that. Sooner or later, we will enter another recession. It could come from normal cyclicality, or it could come from an exogenous shock. Either way, when it comes, it is very likely we will enter it prior to the Fed having ‘normalized’ monetary policy, and we’ll have a large fiscal deficit to boot. What tools will the Fed and the Congress have at that point? If the Fed is willing to deploy this new set of desperate measures in these frustrating, but non-desperate times, what will it do then? We don’t know, but a large allocation to gold still seems like a very good idea."

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