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Message: Midas commentary tonight

As you know, I will be in Washington, D.C. next Wednesday to do the Russia Today Capital Account Program with Lauren Lyster. The next morning I have a meeting in Bart Chilton’s CFTC office … thus our quote of the day and just what I will suggest the CFTC do about JP Morgan and their manipulation of the silver market.

If there ever was a day to hold off market commentary until the dust cleared, this was it. Both gold and silver started off on the firm side, as did the euro and the DOW, which was called up over 100, erasing all of yesterday’s losses. The reason given by the pundits was the news emanating from Europe, which you can read all about below, should you care too. The back and forth talk about what the Europeans will, and can do, to correct their very serious fiscal/economic ills, is endless. They say "this" and the lemmings go one way. Then they say "that" and the lemmings go the other way.

The same is true regarding what the Fed is going to do about QE. To be or not to be.

The lemmings were in rare form this morning following Bernanke’s long awaited Jackson Hole presentation. Far as I can tell what he said, or didn’t say, was totally in the market. Yet, gold and silver were bombed soon after his utterings were released. Gold disintegrated to $1644, well below that key $1650 level, while silver was nailed down to $30.17. Then, A Funny Thing Happened On The Way To The Forum...

After going straight down, both gold and silver then went straight up as you can see.

The gold open interest went up 1748 contracts to 424,521. And, as usual these days, the silver open interest went the other way. It fell 2006 contracts to 116,923 ahead of first notice day on the September contract. It is interesting to me that JP Morgan has been getting out of shorts below $31, while the spec longs/smaller commercials have been dumping. Normally, this sort of action occurs on major dips in the price, not with silver right off multi-month highs. Now, this might not have been JPM, but my bet is that it was.

Certainly JPM covering at these levels fits in with my understanding of just how explosive the silver market is…

*From Wednesday’s commentary:

"That description of the silver market as "explosive" is not an overstated one. A conservative source of ours in the industry says the physical market is the tightest he has ever seen it. Deliveries of size are stretched out as long as he has ever seen them. It is like a tinderbox ready to catch fire.

"Once the tinderbox is lit (in this extraordinarily dry forest), the price of silver could take off to $40 very quickly, and then shoot for $80 per ounce in the not too distant future. Once silver takes out $31.25, the price is likely to accelerate in short order and head towards those numbers. Prices could even double from that, but it will take a much longer period of time."

*Then today I received a phone call from a sophisticated Café member who is in the gold/silver business. This person asked me about a client who was having trouble getting his $5 million silver order delivered. He is getting one excuse after another why he is not getting his physical silver. The question to me was about the manufacturing dates these days for silver being delivered … meaning that what is delivered are current date bars … because there just isn’t any silver around in size to be delivered. SMOKE is everywhere. It is billowing and is advertising the coming silver fire.

*Now, for nearly two months I have been bringing to your attention what a problem JP Morgan has with their silver short position. We do not need to rehash it all. But knowing what is coming, it would make sense for JPM to cover what they can, while they can. It won’t mitigate their problem, but it will cut their exposure.

*One more time! It won’t be too long before the investment sharks in the world realize just how tight the physical silver market is and that JPM has a problem with their short position. Once this becomes apparent, with no equivocation, these sharks will go after JPM … especially when there is growing talk of DELIVERY DEFAULTS beginning to surface. This, among other things, will expose JP Morgan’s market manipulation role all these years.

SILVER REMAINS EXPLOSIVE!

From a technical analysis standpoint, it doesn’t get much better than this. Gold took out its key level of $1650 and then turned around in short order, taking out that key resistance level right above $1675 and managed to close above it … erasing The Gold Cartel’s prior efforts to prevent it from doing so. We had an outside day reversal to the upside involving two critical price points. That is a rare occurrence.

While gold briefly took out its key $1650 level, silver stayed well above its key $30 level. The buyers were waiting for the dip and were right there stepping up to the buy plate. And buy they did, taking silver back up to its recent multi-month highs at $31.20 and change … then taking off from there to a $31.55 high. Therefore, the stellar silver close through its resistance level confirmed what gold did, accomplishing the same outside day reversal to upside.

Gold made a new high for the day on its close and silver closed not far from its high. It is important to keep in mind how the shorts have pounded away at gold and silver for a long time now. Anyone who is still short has a losing trade on the books for the moment.

We have spent some time via this commentary covering how powerful the gold and silver charts are … with the operative word being explosive. Here they are:

Daily gold

http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/DG/

Weekly gold

http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/DG/W?anticache=1346433680

Monthly gold

http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/DG/M?anticache=1346433699

Daily silver

http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/SV_/

Weekly silver

http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/SV_/W?anticache=1346433938

Monthly silver

http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/SV_/M?anticache=1346433958

One more bit of emphasis. Today was particularly significant from a bigger picture perspective because weak longs were cleaned out early. There are not even any gaps on the downside for traders to shoot for. Physical market buyers know all of this. They wait for opportunities like this morning. They will be encouraged to pay up for more supply because they realize the upside price potential far outweighs downside risk.

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