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Message: Ed Steer this morning

China Imports More Gold From Hong Kong in Five Months Than all of UK's Combined Gold Holdings

"It's absolutely amazing how blatant the price management scheme in the precious metals is becoming."

¤ Yesterday in Gold and Silver

The gold price traded flat on very light volume through the entire Far East trading day on Tuesday, but as I mentioned in 'The Wrap' yesterday, that all ended shortly after 9:00 a.m. in London.

The rally that began at that point ended just minutes after 9:00 a.m. in New York when it broke through the $1,600 spot price. Gold's high price tick...$1,603.00 spot...occurred at that point. Then 'da boyz' let loose their high-frequency traders...and by the time that the low price tick for gold occurred, gold was down to $1,563.70 spot...and intra-day move of almost forty bucks. The low came at 2:45 p.m. in electronic trading...and then traded sideways into the 5:15 p.m. New York close.

Gold closed the Tuesday trading session at $1,566.50 spot...down $20.80 from Monday's close. For such a price move, net volume wasn't overly heavy...125,000 contracts, give or take. Hopefully all of the volume associated with the price decline up until the 1:30 p.m. Eastern time Comex close, will be in Friday's Commitment of Traders Report.

It was pretty much the same price action in silver, although the high tick of the day, somewhere north of $27.60 spot, occurred within a one hour time period around the London silver fix at noon local time.

Silver's secondary high occurred just minutes after the 9:00 a.m. Eastern time mark in New York...and then silver [along with platinum and palladium] suffered the same fate as gold, with the low tick [$26.66 spot] coming around the 2:35 price mark in electronic trading. From that point, silver also trade flat into the close.

Silver closed at $26.81 spot...down 53 cents on the day...but had an intraday price move of just over a dollar. Considering the hit that silver took, the net volume was a rather subdued 30,000 contracts.

The dollar index rallied about 15 basis points from its Tuesday open...with the Far East high coming around 2:00 p.m. Hong Kong time. From that point, it rolled over pretty hard, hitting its low of the day [82.98] about 8:30 a.m. local time in London. But from there, the dollar index rallied strongly, hitting its high tick [83.47] about 11:15 a.m. in New York.

From its zenith, the dollar index slipped back about 10 basis points or so...and then traded flat into the close...finishing the Tuesday trading session around 83.40.

It should have been obvious to any impartial observer of the dollar index, that it played no meaningful roll either before nor during the engineered price decline in all the precious metals yesterday.

The gold stocks gapped down a bit at the open of the equity markets...and then followed the gold price lower all day long...with the low tick coming in the last half-hour of the New York trading day. The HUI finished down 2.89%. I thank reader Scott Pluschau for providing today's chart once again, as the good folks over at yahoo.com still haven't done a thing with their HUI chart problem.

(Click on image to enlarge)

All the silver stocks got it in the neck again yesterday...and Nick Laird's Silver Sentiment Index closed down a whopping 4.41%.

(Click on image to enlarge)

Well, the CME's Daily Delivery Report was another yawner...as only 3 gold and 7 silver contracts were posted for delivery on Thursday. But there are still 1,791 silver contracts open in July...and one has to wonder how many of these long/stoppers will stand for delivery, and who the big short/issuers will be that will be forced to deliver the physical metal itself. The friendly bet I have with myself is Jefferies, but it isn't big money.

The GLD ETF reported that an authorized participant[s] withdrew 135,830 troy ounces of gold yesterday...and there were no changes in SLV.

There was no sales report from the U.S. Mint.

The Comex-approved depositories did not receive any silver on Monday...but Scotia Mocatta shipped 996,615 troy ounces of the stuff out the door...and the link to that action is here.

The July Bank Participation Report didn't show much change from the June report. The data for this report was taken from last Friday's Commitment of Traders Report. In gold, it showed that 4 U.S. banks are net short 75,895 Comex Futures contracts...and the 19 non-U.S. that hold Comex futures contracts are net short another 49,949 contracts. Both the U.S and non-U.S. bank categories increased their net short position by about 5,000 Comex contracts from the June report...10,000 contracts in total.

The four 4 U.S. banks are net short 7.59 million ounces of gold...and the 19 non-U.S. banks are net short an additional 4.99 million ounces. From last Friday's COT report, the Commercial net short position was reported as 16.66 million ounces...so these 23 banks hold 75.5% of the entire Commercial net short position in gold.

In silver, it's an entirely different story, as it has been since JPMorgan took over Bear Stearns short position in silver back in the spring of 2008.

Four [4] U.S. Banks are net short 18,272 Comex silver contracts...an insignificant decline of 600 contracts from their June position. I'd bet serious coin that about 80% of this amount is held by JPMorgan...and 19.99% is held by HSBC USA. The other 0.01 percent is held by Citigroup and one other bank...but are immaterial, regardless.

The 11 non-U.S. banks that hold Comex silver contracts are net long 904 contracts...a minor drop of about 300 contracts from the June BPR.

The net Commercial short position in silver in last Friday's COT report was 17,354 Comex contracts. JPMorgan and HSBC hold over 100% of that amount in silver all by themselves. And as I pointed out in the previous paragraph, the 11 non-U.S. banks are actually net long the silver market.

This is not rocket science, dear reader, as the silver price management scheme is obviously 100% 'Made in America'. And with 4 U.S. banks holding just about 50% of the Commercial net short position in gold, they are a powerful force to be reckoned with in gold as well...especially since they collude in this price fixing scheme. When I say "JPMorgan et al"...or 'da boyz'...that's who I'm referring to. Most of the 'et al's are not U.S. banks...but other Commercial traders that work together with JPMorgan.

This is precisely the same way that the LIBOR scandal works/worked. I would guess that a lot of other markets work that was as well...and the dollar index and the New York equity markets would be two others that fall into that category.

As GATA's Chris Powell said..."The are no markets anymore...only interventions."

Of course, since the cut-off for both the BPR and COT reports from last Tuesday's 1:30 p.m. Eastern time Comex close, the engineered price decline in all precious metals has changed both reports dramatically...and as Ted Butler so quaintly pointed out...both reports are now very much "yesterday's news".

Here are two charts courtesy of Washington state reader S.A. that he borrowed from Monday's edition of Casey's Daily Dispatch...which is linked here. Both are self-explanatory...and neither of them require any further embellishment from me.

Reader Scott Pluschau has another blog posted on his website. This one is entitled "Gold is Coming to a Fork in the Road"...and the link is here.

I have the usual number of stories for a mid-week column, so I hope you have the chance to read the ones that interest you.

¤ Critical Reads

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Fitch Affirms Its 'AAA' Rating On the US, Keeps Outlook Negative

Fitch Ratings on Tuesday affirmed its AAA credit rating on the United States and maintained a negative outlook, citing a diversified and wealthy economy that is undermined by the government's inability to agree on deficit reduction measures.

"The uncertainty over tax and spending policies associated with the so-called 'fiscal cliff' weighs on the near-term economic outlook," Fitch said in a statement.

A negative outlook gives Fitch 12 to 18 months by which it is expected to make a decision on the U.S. sovereign credit, pushing a decision well beyond the next presidential and congressional election cycle.

You can't make this stuff up. Like most of the PIIGS...all U.S. debt paper should be downgraded to junk. This CNBS story was posted on their website late yesterday afternoon...and I thank West Virginia reader Elliot Simon for sending it along. The link is here if you're seriously thinking about reading it.

PFG's Chairman Was Forging Bank Documents For Years Even As The CFTC Gave An "All Clear"

If there is an event that should cost Gary Gensler his job as head regulator at the CFTC, it is this.

According to a just released Reuters report, the head of MFG(lobal) part 2, PFG, whose story we broke yesterday, Russell Wasendorf Sr. "intercepted and forged bank documents for more than two years to cover up hundreds of millions of dollars in missing money, a person close to the situation."

Once Wasendorf realized he was caught, and knew the implications of his actions would be exposed for the whole world to see, he tried to commit suicide, and failed. "Wasendorf, 64, is reported to be in a coma after a suicide attempt Monday morning, according to a complaint filed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission on Tuesday that accuses Wasendorf and Peregrine of fraud."

And while crime happens all the time, what is truly stunning is that as we reported previously, the CFTC gave the firm a clean bill of health in its January inspection of Peregrine Financial Group. That's 6 months ago.

This Zero Hedge story from yesterday is worth skimming...and I thank reader Phil Barlett for sending it along. The link is here.

Bank Scandal Turns Spotlight to Regulators

As big banks face the fallout from a global investigation into interest rate manipulation, American and British lawmakers are scrutinizing regulators who failed to take action that might have prevented years of illegal activity.

Politicians in both London and Washington are questioning whether regulators allowed banks to report false rates in the run-up to the 2008 financial crisis and afterward. On Monday, Congress stepped into the fray, requesting information about the role of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, according to people close to the matter. The Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday also announced it was looking into the issue.

The focus on regulators and other financial institutions has intensified in the last two weeks after the British bank Barclays agreed to pay $450 million to resolve an enforcement case. British and American authorities accused the bank of improperly influencing key interest rates to deflect concerns about its health and bolster profits.

This story was posted in The New York Times late on Monday evening...and I thank Phil Barlett for sending it. The link is here.

Fed knew of Libor issue in 2007- 08, proposed reforms

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York may have known as early as August 2007 that the setting of global benchmark interest rates was flawed. Following an inquiry with British banking group Barclays Plc in the spring of 2008, it shared proposals for reform of the system with British authorities.

The role of the Fed is likely to raise questions about whether it and other authorities took enough action to address concerns they had about the way Libor rates were set, or whether their struggle to keep the banking system afloat through the financial crisis meant the issue took a backseat.

A New York Fed spokesperson said in a statement that "in the context of our market monitoring following the onset of the financial crisis in late 2007, involving thousands of calls and emails with market participants over a period of many months, we received occasional anecdotal reports from Barclays of problems with Libor.

I found this Reuters story posted in a GATA release early yesterday morning...and the link is here.

New York Sun: What's so magical about interest-rate rigging?

Reflecting on the LIBOR interest-rate report rigging scandal, the New York Sun wonders why interest rate setting is considered so magical, particularly in the hands of the Federal Reserve.

The Fedsters, the Sun writes, are "supposed to set their rates with an eye to maintaining full employment. But they've been lathering trillions of dollars over to the federal government and to banks, yet it seems the more they do it, the more contented the unemployment rate seems to be resting above 8 percent. That doesn't even count hidden unemployment and underemployment and persons dropping out of the look for work. It's gotten so bad that members of Congress are starting to think about whether they want to end the employment mandate. A key committee unanimously called for a tough, unprecedented audit of the Fed, and the chairman of the Fed, Ben Bernanke, is so concerned that he's broken precedent and started holding quarterly press conferences. ...

"Our own prediction is that out of this debacle will come greater impetus to monetary reform and the introduction into the conduct of monetary policy a reference to gold."

The Sun's editorial is headlined "Jawbone of an Ass"...and I thank Chris Powell for providing the headline...and the introduction. It's posted on the nysun.com website...and the link is here.

Viewpoint: Eliot Spitzer and Matt Taibbi Discuss LIBOR

This 9:04 minute wimp.com video was sent to me by Vancouver Island reader John Ditomasso. I haven't had the time to watch all of it, but from what I've seen, I would suggest that it's an absolute must view...and the link is here. Also on the panel is Dennis Kelleher, President and CEO of Better Markets, Inc.

Many Wall Street executives says wrongdoing is necessary: Survey

If the ancient Greek philosopher Diogenes were to go out with his lantern in search of an honest man today, a survey of Wall Street executives on workplace conduct suggests he might have to look elsewhere.

A quarter of Wall Street executives see wrongdoing as a key to success, according to a survey by whistleblower law firm Labaton Sucharow released on Tuesday.

In a survey of 500 senior executives in the United States and the UK, 26 percent of respondents said they had observed or had firsthand knowledge of wrongdoing in the workplace, while 24 percent said they believed financial services professionals may need to engage in unethical or illegal conduct to be successful.

This story was posted on Reuters website yesterday morning...and I thank Andrew Holland for digging this up on our behalf. The link is here.

Post-AIG derivatives rules unleashed by CFTC

The nation’s commodity futures regulator on Tuesday voted to define which derivatives will be considered swaps, letting loose a slew of transparency-focused regulations for the $650 trillion global industry, considered a key contributor to the financial crisis of 2008.

“Light will begin to shine on the swaps market for the first time,” said Commodity Futures Trading Commission chief Gary Gensler.

The commission including Gensler voted 4 to 1, with Bart Chilton, a Democratic commissioner, voting against the regulation.

The definitions are important because most of the derivatives regulations in the Dodd-Frank Act, written responding to the crisis, cannot become effective until swaps are defined.

I consider this marketwatch.com story from yesterday a must read...and I thank Florida reader Donna Badach for sending it our way. The link is here.

More TARP Returns for Treasury

As the fourth anniversary of the Lehman Brothers debacle approaches, the government rescue efforts and bailouts continue to wind down.

The central component of the TARP was the Capital Purchase Program (CPP), under which the U.S. Treasury purchased preferred shares in hundreds of banks and received warrants in return. Banks started to return the capital in June 2009, with the largest institutions repaying first. Counting the extra assistance given to Citigroup and Bank of America, CPP recipients took $242.9 billion in funds. Banks have returned $230.71 billion of that total. Add in dividends ($14.69 billion), gains on the sale of Citigroup common stock ($6.85 billion) and funds received from the sale of warrants ($9.08 billion) and the CPP has turned a "profit" thus far of about $18.4 billion.

This story was posted on the finance.yahoo.com website yesterday...and I thank reader Scott Pluschau for sharing it with us. The link is here.

Russia sends warships to Syria

Two destroyers and three amphibious landing vessels carrying marines set sail from Russian bases in the Arctic and the Black Sea, according to Russian military sources.

Russia's defence ministry insisted that the mission was part of a previously scheduled exercise in the Atlantic, Mediterranean and Black Sea and at least one of the vessels in the flotilla has patrolled waters off Syria earlier this year.

But Western diplomats say the purpose of the mission is to show tangible support for Mr Assad, to warn the West against military intervention in Syria and to prepare for the possible evacuation of Russian nationals from the country.

Scott Pluschau sent me this story from The Telegraph yesterday...and the link is here.

Three King World News Blogs

The first blog features Jean Marie Eveillard...and it's headlined "Expect More Chaos As The Elites Are Now Totally Discredited". The second is with Jeffrey Saut, chief investment strategist for Raymond James. It's entitled "The Systemic Problem, I'm Not Sure It Can Be Fixed". And lastly is this Richard Russell blog that's headlined "Gold, Stocks & Massive Fed Manipulation".

Hearing Naylor-Leyland, CNBC remembers GATA

CNBC seems to have started to put 2 and 2 together, giving hope that eventually the business television network might add them up to 4. The network's new introduction to Cheviot Asset Management Ned Naylor-Leyland's assertion on CNBC Europe this week that the gold and silver markets are as manipulated as the LIBOR interest rate report, refers to GATA secretary/treasurer Chris Powell's appearance on CNBC Asia on June 21. The new introduction to Naylor-Leyland's appearance earlier this week is posted at the CNBC video archive here...and both links are definitely worth your time.

What's Iran doing with Turkish gold? Accepting payment for oil

What's Iran doing with Turkish gold?

That is the question [the] Beyondbrics [column] found itself asking after it had a look at Turkey's latest trade figures.

According to data released by the Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat), Turkey's trade with Iran in May rose a whopping 513.2 per cent to hit $1.7 billion. Of this, gold exports to its eastern neighbour accounted for the bulk of the increase. Nearly $1.4 billion worth of gold was exported to Iran, accounting for 84 per cent of Turkey's trade with the country.

So what's going on?

In a nutshell -- sanctions and oil.

This story showed up in the Financial Times of London on Monday...and is posted in the clear in this GATA release. The link is here.

Bolivia to consider nationalizing embattled silver project

Bolivia will consider nationalizing Canadian miner South American Silver Corp's silver property, President Evo Morales said on Sunday, following violent indigenous protests against the mining project.

Leftist Morales, who last month took control of global commodities giant Glencore's tin and zinc mine in the Andean country, said he hadn't taken a final decision on whether to revoke the Canadian miner's concession.

"Nationalization is our obligation, I already raised the issue of nationalizing (the Malku Khota project) last year, and I told (local residents) to reach an agreement, because when they want we're going to nationalize," Morales told a farmers' gathering.

This Reuters story was something I lifted from yesterday's edition of the King Report...and the link is here.

Gold vs. paper money: Which should we trust more?

Brian from Manchester has lost faith in money. After selling his house, he decided to turn his cash into something he says he can trust - gold.

"I started in 2005 and now I've got £200,000 worth - about half of what I own - in gold.

"If I kept all my money in the bank, the value of my work would either devalue over the long-term or it would be wiped out."

Brian's worry is that inflation will erode the value of his savings over time, or worse still, that fragile banks and governments will fail to protect them in another financial crisis.

This story was posted on the bbc.co.uk Internet site last week...and I thank reader Iain Doherty for sending it along. The link is here.

Propping Up The Gold Price? - Zero Hedge Guest Post

John Aziz takes on Izabella Kaminska after her negative rant on gold was posted on the Internet the other day. Aziz writes...

"The obvious thing, though — even if we take central bank buying out of the equation altogether — is that total demand for gold is still increasing. And the price of gold has increased faster than sales, illustrating that the market has struggled and continues to struggle to keep pace with underlying demand."

"And it’s not just demand for gold-denominated paper (i.e. ETFs or other such as-risky-as-anything-you’ll-get-from-MF Global assets) — it’s recently manifested as demand for hard physical gold."

"It’s true that central banks are presently supporting the gold price — after years of selling off national wealth at pennies-on-the-dollar into a bear market and thus suppressing prices. Yet it’s not the Western central banks that are pushing demand for gold. It’s the BRICs. As PBOC official Zhang Jianhua noted: No asset is safe now. The only choice to hedge risks is to hold hard currency — gold."

John's commentary, which is well worth reading, was posted on the zerohedge.com website yesterday...and I thank reader Marshall Angeles for bringing it to my attention. The link is here.

China Imports More Gold From Hong Kong In Five Months Than All Of UK's Combined Gold Holdings

There are those who say gold may go to $10,000 or to $0, or somewhere in between; in a different universe, they would be the people furiously staring at the trees. For a quick look at the forest, we suggest readers have a glance at the chart below. It shows that just in the first five months of 2012 alone, China has imported more gold, a total of 315 tons, than all the official gold holdings of the UK, at 310.3 tonnes according to the WGC/IMF (a country which infamously sold 400 tons of gold by Gordon Brown at ~$275/ounce).

This story was posted over at the Zero Hedge Internet site yesterday...and is a must read for sure. The chart alone is worth the trip. I thank Washington state reader S.A. for sharing it with us...and the link is here.

Mike Kosares: Gold's secular bull market -- past, present, and future

Mike Kosares, proprietor of Centennial Precious Metals in Denver, writes this week that while gold has entered the "public participation" phase of its bull market, the monetary metal likely has far more to run because the participation is only a fraction of what it has been in previous bull markets.

Kosares' commentary is headlined "Gold's Secular Bull Market: Past, Present, and Future," and it's posted at Centennial's Internet site, USAGold.com, here. I borrowed this story from a GATA release yesterday.

¤ The Funnies

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¤ The Wrap

The banker must at all times conduct himself so as to justify the confidence of his clients in him. - J.P. Morgan Jr.

It's absolutely amazing how blatant the price management scheme in the precious metals is becoming. Even I was taken aback by how brazen JPMorgan et al were during the Comex trading session yesterday. They made no attempt to hide behind any sort of dollar rally, as they just sent in their high-frequency traders and 'did the dirty' in broad daylight in front of everyone.

Of course the CFTC, CME...and the precious metal companies you own shares in...will do precisely nothing. They'll just stand there as the usually do and watch while the public and the shareholders get raped again.

How low we got from here, remains to be seen. But it's entirely possible that we've already seen the lows, as there's a limit to the number of short positions that the technical funds and small traders are prepared to sell...and when that point is reached, that will be the low.

Here's the 2-year gold chart.

(Click on image to enlarge)

I would be really surprised if they can get the price much lower than approximately $1,540 the ounce, as that seems to be a bottom-of-the-barrel price that goes all the way back to late September 2011...as every engineered price decline since then has never gone much lower than that...and if it has, it's only lasted for a matter of hours, or maybe minutes. And if they do get it lower than that, it won't gain them a lot of contracts, as we're already pretty much all sold out to the downside right now.

As an aside, if you lost money in MF Global...or with Bernie Madoff...or the new debacle over at PFGBest...I sort of feel sorry for you...with the emphasis on 'sort of'. You should know better...and I hope you've learned your lesson by now. There appears to be little or no protection for you in the options and futures market if something goes sideways. So forget leverage...just buy the physical metal and sit tight.

In overnight trading, all precious metals rallied in fits and starts during the Far East trading session on their Wednesday...and now that London has been open for a couple of hours, gold is up about twelve bucks...and silver is up just under 30 cents. Volume in both, as of 5:04 a.m. Eastern time is already pretty chunky, so it's obvious that these rally attempts are not going unopposed. The dollar index has been declining all night long...and is currently down about 20 basis points, with most of that drop coming since the open of London trading earlier this morning.

That's all for today...and I'll see you on Thursday...Friday west of the International Date Line.

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