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Golden Minerals is a junior silver producer with a strong growth profile, listed on both the NYSE Amex and TSX.

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Message: Ed Steer this morning

Dubai Gold Buyers Switching From Jewelry To Bullion

"Right now I'm just sitting around with my belly button lint brush waiting for prices to resolve themselves, hopefully to the upside."

¤ Yesterday in Gold and Silver

The gold price didn't do much until shortly before 3:00 p.m. Hong Kong time, which was minutes before the 8:00 a.m. London open. Then a decent rally began.

This came to an end at the London a.m. gold fix at 10:30 a.m. British Summer Time. Gold then traded sideways to down until 1:00 p.m. in London before beginning another rally.

This rally got nowhere in a hurry, as moments after the Comex open in New York, the selling pressure began...and lasted for most of the rest of the New York trading day. The gold price closed at $1,674.50 spot...up $11.30 spot.

Gold's high of the day...$1,693.40 spot...came minutes after the New York open. Net volume was up a bit over 10% from Tuesday, at 112,000 contracts...give or take.

Silver's price chart was very similar to gold's, with all the major price turning points occurring at the same time. The only difference was the London high occurred about forty minutes after the London a.m. gold fix.

The New York high of $33.18 spot looked about the same as the London high price spike. Silver closed at $32.50 spot...up 44 cents on the day. Net volume was around 34,000 contracts.

For a change it looks like the big drop in the dollar between 3:45 a.m. and 6:00 a.m. Eastern time may have been responsible for part of gold's rally. However, the rally in both metals started an hour before the dollar rolled over hard...and gold began to rally into the Comex open despite the fact that the dollar was on the rise. So the dollar's movement doesn't really explain it all.

The stocks gapped up at the open...and bounced around quite a bit, but managed to finish in the black. The HUI finished up 0.91%.

Despite silver's nice gain, the silver stocks definitely turned in a mixed performance...especially the juniors. But Nick Laird's Silver Sentiment Index finished up 1.74%

(Click on image to enlarge)

The CME's Daily Delivery Report showed that one lonely gold contract was posted for delivery tomorrow. With most deliveries done in the first week of the delivery month, it gets pretty quiet for the rest of the month.

There were no reported changes in either GLD or SLV yesterday.

But the U.S. Mint had something to say. They sold another 2,500 ounces of gold eagles...2,500 one-ounce 24K gold buffaloes...along with 218,000 silver eagles. Month-to-date the mint has sold 26,000 ounces of gold eagles...7,500 one-ounce 24K gold buffaloes...and 1,880,000 silver eagles. I hope that you're getting your share of silver eagles while JPMorgan has them marked down 30%.

There was a lot of activity over at the Comex-approved depositories on Tuesday. They reported receiving 914,288 ounces of silver...and shipped 501,769 troy ounces out the door. The link to this action, which is worth the look, is here.

Since yesterday was Wednesday, silver analyst Ted Butler had his mid-week commentary to his paying subscribers posted...and here's a free paragraph.

"Just like the sharp reduction in the commercial short position in COMEX silver and gold futures is good, the sharp reduction in the short positions in SLV and GLD is also bullish going forward. But the manner in which all these reductions came about is manipulative and bad. It does need to be said again that without the buildup of shorted shares in SLV and GLD, the price of each would have been much higher this year...to at least $75 in silver, if the SLV shorts had to have deposited metal instead of being allowed to sell short. That’s what makes this share shorting fraudulent and manipulative. There is no doubt in my mind that the big silver and gold shorts on the COMEX are also the big shorts in SLV and GLD. All these short positions didn’t get simultaneously reduced by coincidence; this was as deliberate and manipulative as it gets. The price of gold and silver were forced lower for the primary purpose of allowing the big shorts on the COMEX and in the shares to buy back their shorts. You would think that the CFTC and the SEC would and could get together and ponder how the big manipulative sell-offs in the metals just happened to result in a dramatic windfall for all the silver and gold shorts at the same time. If the regulators ever do try to connect the dots, I’d be happy to provide the crayons and the 'paint-by-number' coloring books...and walk them through it very, very slowly. That’s a promise."

Here's a graph from over at zerohedge.com that Washington state reader S.A. sent me yesterday afternoon. It's a chart showing the inflows and outflows from domestic equity mutual funds in billions of dollars...plotted against the SPY...and it certainly needs no explanation from me, as the story it tells is self-evident.

(Click on image to enlarge)

Here's a wonderful photo of a beautiful piece of rock that was sent to me by Australian reader Wesley Legrand last night. It's the latest drill core from an Australian mining company that's estimated to be better than 1,500 grams of gold per tonne. This is beyond bonanza grade.

(Click on image to enlarge)

I have less stories for you today than either yesterday or Monday...so I hope that this is a 'reasonable' number for you to plough through.

¤ Critical Reads

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Bernanke is lying to us: Jim Rogers

Here's a CNBC video clip where Larry Kudlow and Jim Rogers have at it.

The clip is from Monday...and it was posted on Tuesday over at the economicpolicyjournal.com website on Tuesday. It only runs for 3 minutes, but is definitely worth your time.

I thank Nitin Agrawal for sending this to me early yesterday morning...and the link is here.

The Volcker Rule: Toothless Then, Even More Toothless Now

Yesterday in this column I was bitching and moaning about the fact that the resurrected Volcker Rule still allowed the banks to trade commodities and rig the gold and silver markets.

Well, over at zerohedge.com, they were apoplectic..."The Final Draft of the Volcker Rule was published for comment at the end of September. Even skipping our traditional rant about government bureaucracy, it is a document over 200 pages long, in which the word “exemption” occurs on no less than 100 pages (it is used 426 times in total). At a quick glance, each section starts with a fairly draconian statement. Then each subsection waters down the bold initial statement with exemption after exemption. As we began the daunting task of trying to make sense of these rules and what they might mean in practice, it became clear there was little point in rushing to do the work."

I consider this Phil Barlett offering a must read...and the link to this zerohedge.com piece is here.

Pennsylvania Capital, Harrisburg, Files for Bankruptcy

Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, which faces a state takeover of its finances, filed for bankruptcy after failing to pay the debt on a trash-to-energy incinerator.

The City Council made its 4-3 decision yesterday against the advice of a city attorney who said members did not follow proper procedure. It’s this year’s ninth bankruptcy filing by a municipal-bond issuer and the first by a U.S. state capital in at least three decades, said James Spiotto, a partner at Chapman & Cutler in Chicago who tracks such cases.

“This was a last resort,” said Mark D. Schwartz, the council’s Bryn Mawr, Pennsylvania-based lawyer. “They’re at their wits’ end.”

I thank Washington state reader S.A. for sending along this story that was posted over at Bloomberg yesterday...and the link is here.

Costs may push Goldman and Morgan Stanley to cut bank status

New compliance burdens tied to proposed regulations seeking to limit bank speculative trading could drive firms like Goldman Sachs & Co. and Morgan Stanley to consider ending their status as bank holding companies, according to Susquehanna Financial Group LLC analyst David Hilder.

I thank Florida reader Donna Badach for sending me this Market Watch story...and the link is here.

Situation in China is Deteriorating Rapidly: Jim Chanos

“The fact that people are even talking about the government stepping in to shore up the banks, when two months ago people thought there was nothing wrong with the Chinese banks, should tell you just how seriously this situation is deteriorating.”

This 7:45 interview with Jim Chanos that's posted over at the valuewalk.com website is well worth watching. This is Nitin Agrawal's second offering in today's column...and the link is here.

S&P downgrades Spain's banking sector

Standard & Poor's on Tuesday downgraded a key measure of risk for Spain's banking sector, warning that the economic crisis will continue to have a negative impact on Spanish banks in the next 15-18 months.

I think that S&P is just being kind saying that it will only affect Spain for that length of time. Spain's banks, like just about every other bank on Planet Earth is already insolvent.

This Reuters story from Tuesday is one I 'borrowed' from yesterday's King Report...and the link is here.

Portugal's credit binge hangover

In Lisbon these days, they're so strapped for cash they're selling the metro stations. Not literally, of course. But Baixa-Chiado station in the heart of the city, pretty much the Portuguese capital's equivalent to Piccadilly Circus, has just been branded by Portuguese Telecom, and now rejoices in the name of PT Blue Station.

It doesn't half anger the locals. "It really symbolises what's going on in this country," says Frederico Duarte, 32, a design critic and teacher. "Public transport should be a public good by definition, for citizens, not for customers, and here it is getting the full corporate treatment. It's sad."

Duarte's sensibilities are upset. The station, built after a catastrophic fire in 1988, was conceived as a gleaming, white-walled temple to an ideal of transit for the people. Its architect, Álvaro Siza, fought a lengthy battle to keep all advertising off the walls. But it has now succumbed to ugly blue lighting and PT logos everywhere you look.

This story, posted in The Guardian on Tuesday, was sent to me by Swiss reader B.G...and the link is here.

Second Vote by Friday: Slovakian Parties Agree to Back Euro Fund

After losing a vote on this on Tuesday, the Slovakian looks set to ratify the expansion of the euro bailout fund in a second vote this week after the government reached a deal with opposition parties on Wednesday. The country had thrown euro rescue efforts into doubt on Tuesday night when it became the only euro zone member to reject the measure.

The coalition parties that make up the outgoing Slovak government reached an agreement with the most important opposition party on Wednesday to ratify the expansion of the euro bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF).

I have no idea what happened...and why a second vote was needed...and the very short story on this, which is posted over at the German website spiegel.de, is not much help. I thank Roy Stephens for sending it along...and the link is here.

Even a Slovak 'Yes' will make no difference

Here's an Ambrose Evans Pritchard blog from The Telegraph that was written before the second vote in Slovakia was announced yesterday. Here are three paragraphs...

Slovakia’s cry of defiance has not been entirely pointless. Richard Sulik – the speaker of parliament – has caught a mood of popular disgust that goes far beyond his own country.

His objections are unanswerable. How can there be any justification for a state of affairs where a poor but rule-abiding EMU state must bail out a serial violator with twice the per capita income, and triple the level of the pensions – a country which is in any case irretrievably bankrupt? How can it be that the no-bail clause of the Lisbon treaty has been ripped up?

But he also touched on the most neuralgic issue, reminding everybody that the EFSF is "mainly for saving foreign banks". These are French, German, British, Dutch, and Belgian banks, of course.

This is Roy Stephens second offering that he sent me early yesterday morning...and the link to this must read is here.

With more collapses, only avoiding counterparty risk can protect investors, Turk says

GoldMoney founder and GATA consultant James Turk told King World News yesterday that the next Lehman moment hasn't arrived yet, that the nationalization of Belgium's Dexia bank and the bankruptcy of Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, are just intermediate steps to the next financial collapse when only assets without counterparty risk -- the precious metals -- will really protect investors. An excerpt from the interview with Turk is linked here...and I thank Chris Powell for writing the introduction for me.

The $2,500 Gold Call - CNBC

Here's the JP Morgan analyst who called for $2,000+ gold by year end, being grilled by the boys and girls on CNBC's Squawk Box. One wonders if he is aware that his company holds the biggest short positions in the Comex futures market in both gold and silver. The interview runs for 7:43...and I thank reader Ron Flutur for sharing this with us...and the link is here.

Conversations with Casey: Rick Rule Global Resource Investments Founder

At the Casey Research/Sprott Summit When Money Dies, Rick Rule spoke with Stefan Molyneux about energy and gold investments and his outlook for the near-future market overall.

The video interview runs 20:06...and the link is here.

Dubai gold buyers switching from jewelry to bullion

The recent violent volatility in gold prices is disrupting traditional buying patterns in Dubai, with customers moving from jewelry to bullion as they renew a focus on the yellow metal's investment potential, a trend that is prompting more city jewelers to stock gold in the form of coins and bars.

Dubai, known as the city of gold, is a long-established market for bullion and wholesale and retail jewelry. Its trade is fueled by demand from India, the world's number one gold consumer, and domestic consumption which, at 19 tons in the second quarter of 2011, makes the United Arab Emirates the second-largest consumer of gold jewelry and bullion in the Middle East after Saudi Arabia.

This story appeared in yesterday's edition of The Wall Street Journal. Because it's subscriber protected, Chris Powell has posted it in the clear in this GATA release...and the link is to this must read story is here.

CBs buying here, swapping dollars for gold: Richard Russell

Gold -- When all else is suffering from devastation, when politicians have destroyed their own sovereign money, gold will still have value, and gold will still represent buying power. I'm holding mine for the same reason that I own health insurance. Although even the gold-bugs expect a big correction, silver and gold continue to creep north. Interesting and frustrating action for the precious metal shorts, and there are a lot of them.

Eric King sent me this short blog by the 'R' man last night...and the link is here.

Is it time to load up on gold stocks? - Jeff Clark

Casey Research's BIG GOLD editor Jeff Clark posted this commetary in yesterday's edition of Casey's Daily Dispatch.

By almost any measure, gold stocks are undervalued. Should we load up?

After completing my research on this question, I'm convinced that as gold stock investors, we're in the right place.

The question, of course, is timing. We don't know when gold stocks will begin to catch up. And the data don't suggest that they must rise right now nor that they've hit bottom. We're convinced they'll someday hit lofty levels, but for now we maintain the same refrain: keep one-third of assets in cash. This reduces risk and gives us a nice pile of funds to deploy during selloffs.

This is, of course, excellent advice if you are a trader of any kind. I'm not. I've been a buy-and-hold investor almost all my life...and I'm certainly not a speculator I have neither the time nor the inclination to 'play' this market...or any other market.

This commentary is a must read...and the link is here.

¤ The Funnies

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¤ The Wrap

We are much beholden to Machiavel and others, that write what men do, and not what they ought to do. – Francis Bacon

Gold and silver's positive day on Wednesday resulted in a rather smallish increase in preliminary open interest numbers...and I'm hoping that most of that will disappear with the final numbers to be posted later this morning. We'll see.

The final open interest numbers for Tuesday's trading day didn't show much change from the preliminary numbers, as gold o.i. rose a bit...and silver o.i. fell a chunk. All of this data will be in tomorrow's Commitment of Traders report, which suits me just fine.

I wouldn't read a large amount into yesterday's trading action in either gold or silver, but it was obvious, at least to me, that the prices of both metals got chopped off at the knees moments after Comex trading began yesterday morning. One has to wonder what a truly free-market daily price chart would look like in both metals...and the only thing I can tell you is that it wouldn't look like the gold and silver price action that we saw yesterday...or any other day for that matter.

Here's the 3-year gold chart to put some perspective into the current price action. It's been almost three years since gold was below its 200-day moving average...and the last time it occurred was after the big meltdown in 2008. Since then, the price has proceeded to rise at a more or less steady rate...from lower left, to upper right...as Dennis Gartman is fond of saying.

(Click on image to enlarge)

Could the bullion banks engineer another sell-off from here, or some point higher up? I suppose, but that won't change the long-term bullish trend in this, or the silver market.

Right now I'm just sitting around with my belly button lint brush waiting for prices to resolve themselves, hopefully to the upside, as there are no supply/demand fundamentals that would cause a downdraft in prices from here...although 'day boyz' could do it to us again if they wanted to. If they did, one would have to wonder for what purpose, as they've pretty much covered all the shorts they can on the downside price action that we've had over the past month...and they would probably have to cover short positions in a rising price environment going forward. We'll find out, as they say, in the fullness of time.

Gold and silver prices traded on either side of unchanged during Far East trading...with the current bottom in the gold price coming at 3:00 p.m. Hong Kong time...and is barely back in positive territory now that London's trading day is a couple of hours old. Silver began to rally about an hour later, right at the London open...but it's still down from yesterday's closing price in New York. And, as of 4:59 a.m. Eastern time, volume is light in both metals.

That's it for another day. I hope your Thursday goes well...and I'll see you here tomorrow.

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