Hi Pic,
Judging by the dismal performance of my PM stocks today in light of reletive strength in the PM's them selves I would have to say the long term trend would lend to the higher posibility of a PM take down tomorrow. Just my gut feel.
I don't post often so I will mention that I voted yes on the merger (too many 1000's of shares). Been in since about 2006 area.
Lots of talk on the board as to when the shares are going to catch up to the performance of the metals. Maybe that will happen when JPM and alike truly lose control of physical PM pricing through the paper market. Don't know when that will be but probably around the same time the bond market as we know it starts to unravel and disperse $$$ into the PM's.
Again, just some thoughts,
Deno G.