posted on
Jun 26, 2011 09:48AM

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Golden Minerals is a junior silver producer with a strong growth profile, listed on both the NYSE Amex and TSX.

Message: Re: Warrants
Each warrant gives the owner the right to buy 1/30,000,000 of the Newcos silver/gold/etc. by 2014.
Therefore, if the Newco has say 1 billion ounces of silver equivalent by 2014, that warrant is worth 1/30,000,000 of 1 billion Ag oz.
1/30,000,000 of 1 billion = 33 ounces.
So, at expiry in 2014...each warrant would be worth the "in-ground" value of 33 ounces of silver at that time...minus the exercise price of $19.00 ($.95 X 20).
If the market is more pro-PM at that time (which it should be) and values "in-ground" resources at one tenth of their value, then each warrant is worth 3.3 ounces of silver.
At current silver prices, that's 3.3 * $34 = $112 in paper dollars - $19 = $93 per warrant.
If Ag is $100 per ounce, then that paper price would be 3.3 * $100 = $330 - $19 = $311.00 per warrant.
That, to me, is the value of the warrants - I think in future value.
The value of the warrants today, is the price that the market pays for that purchasing power. It is what the market says it is.
I own a few 100,000 warrants - I am biased...and hopeful, but confident.
lp,
gildage
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