Ed Steer this morning
posted on
Apr 12, 2011 09:17AM
Golden Minerals is a junior silver producer with a strong growth profile, listed on both the NYSE Amex and TSX.
"But, as we found out again yesterday, the real silver price action occurred during the New York trading day."
The gold price didn't really do a whole heck of a lot during Far East trading on Monday...and only developed a downward bias once the London a.m. gold fix was in at 10:30 a.m. local time...which is 5:30 a.m. Eastern. By the end of Comex trading, gold was down a whole seven bucks...then got sold off a few more in electronic trading. Volume was light.
The real fireworks were in the silver price...as it was off like the proverbial rocket shortly after trading began in the Far East. The price came close to breaking through the $42 level just after 2:00 p.m. Hong Kong time. But, that was its high of the day, as the selling pressure began...and by the time that Comex trading was concluded at 1:30 p.m. Eastern time in New York, silver was down about 30 cents from Friday's close.
Then, at 2:00 p.m. Eastern time in electronic trading, the bullion banks pulled their bids...and in just over an hour, the silver price was down another $1.10. Then a bid reappeared...and silver popped back above the $40 spot mark with some authority.
In the run-up to the $42 price level in Far East trading, volume was extremely heavy. By 2:00 a.m. Eastern time, it was north of 13,000 contracts...which is unheard of for that time of day. It was obvious that the New York bullion banks were in this market buying/short covering on the Globex trading system...as normal volume in the Far East markets is considerably less than that.
Considering the price range that silver traded in, it should come as no surprise that overall silver volume was monstrous yesterday.
The dollar rose about twenty basis points from the open in the Far East, until the close in New York at 5:15 p.m. yesterday. It was obvious that the world's reserve currency had nothing to do with the price shenanigans in the precious metals market yesterday.
You'd think that gold was down $50 by the way the shares responded to the small drop in the gold price...and the silver stocks got smoked. Gold was only down 0.80%...and silver was down 1.73%. A lot of nervous day-trading newbies out there. The HUI was down 2.66%.
The CME's Daily Delivery Report was another yawner...as only 3 gold, along with 3 silver contracts, were posted for delivery tomorrow.
There were no reported changes in either GLD or SLV yesterday.
Over at Switzerland's Zürcher Kantonalbank for the week just past, they reported an increase of 34,205 ounces in their gold ETF...and no change whatsoever in their silver ETF. As always, I thank Carl Loeb for these numbers.
The U.S. Mint had a sales report yesterday. They sold another 5,000 ounces of gold eagles...3,000 one-ounce 24K gold buffaloes...along with another 624,000 silver eagles. Month-to-date the mint has sold 44,000 ounces of gold eagles...6,000 one-ounce 24K gold buffaloes...and 1,374,000 silver eagles.
The Comex-approved depositories did not receive a single ounce of silver on Friday, but reported shipping out 715,828 ounces of the stuff. The link to the action is here.
Well, yesterday's sell-off brought out the buyers in droves in Edmonton yesterday...as my coin guy had all the business he could handle right from the time he opened the doors yesterday morning. The buy-the-dips crowd was out in force. His main supplier of silver bars informed him that delivery times for new product had suddenly jumped from four weeks, to six weeks.
Here's a paragraph from silver analyst Ted Butler's weekly review that he sent out to subscribers on Saturday..." I know we are over-bought in silver and in a normal market the price should correct sharply. But this is as far from anormal market as you can get. This is a manipulated market where the manipulation is in the process of ending and in which the manipulators appear to be in trouble. That means the charts and previous price patterns may not matter. It is very easy to imagine some important shorts throwing in the towel in their weakened financial state. In fact, it may be what we are witnessing now."
Here's a neat graph that Washington state reader S.A. sent my way yesterday. The scales are tough to read...but it's really not necessary. This is a silver price chart versus the shares of Berkshire Hathaway going back to 1997. I would suspect that silver's graph would look pretty similar to just about every other stock out there as well.
Here's another graph...this one courtesy of reader Scott Pluschau. It's entitled "Exhibit 1: The Federal Budget"...and needs no further comment from me.
It's been three days since my last column...so I have quite a few stories for you today...which I hope you have time for.
This 3-paragraph story from reader Scott Pluschau is posted over at cnsnews.com...and needs no further comments from me...and the link is here.
Here's a zerohedge.com piece that was sent to me by reader U.D. Once again, the headline pretty much tells all. This is the closest that Bill has come to making a political statement...and is now without doubt putting his money where his mouth is. If Gross is indeed right, something very wicked this way comes. The link to the story is here.
Reader G.G. sent me this very interesting Letter to the Editor from Donald Trump that appeared in the Friday edition of The New York Times.
He starts off his comments with this sentence..."Even before Gail Collins was with the New York Times, she has written nasty and derogatory articles about me. Actually, I have great respect for Ms. Collins in that she has survived so long with so little talent."
And it goes straight down hill from there. This is a hoot to read...and the link is here.
Here's a story that I got from several readers...but Tariq Khan was the first one through the door. The zerohedge.com story bears the title "With Its Economy On The Mend, Iceland Stuffs Bankers For Second Time". Tariq's title is the unvarnished truth.
In a shining example of how it can be done, Iceland, for the second time in as many years, by popular vote refused to provide up to $5 billion to Britain and Netherlands banks. The just completed referendum once again rejected a $5 billion Icesave debt deal, pushed on Iceland by its European banking brethren.
One wonders how long it will be before other EU nations decide to do the same. Ireland comes to mind...and the link to this very important read is here.
Well, it didn't take long [less than a day] for the U.K. to say they were going to sue Iceland to get the money back. The British government has "an obligation to get that money back, and we will continue to pursue that until we do," said Danny Alexander, the chief secretary of the Treasury.
He was speaking Sunday after Iceland's people voted to repeal a law aimed at solving the dispute. This is a cnn.com piece that was sent to me by Washington state reader S.A....and the link to the story is here.
George Soros' little wiener roast at Bretton Woods on the weekend brought out the NWO crowd in force...and Joe Stiglitz was up on his 'one world currency' soapbox once again. Washington state reader S.A. sent me this Bloomberg piece bearing the above headline...and the link is here.
Here's a longish read that reader Roy Stephens sent me. It's a 2-page essay that was posted over at spiegel.de yesterday.
Europe's sovereign debt crisis is threatening to take on new dimensions as Portugal becomes the third euro-zone member to ask the EU for a bailout. Germany is opposed to giving Greece any more financial aid, meaning that Athens will have little choice but to restructure its debt.
However, something that worries the Europeans even more is the possibility that Portugal won't be the last country to ask for a bailout. Belgium and Spain could also find themselves in dire financial straits.
If you have the time, this is worth the read...and the link is here.
Here's the weekly column from UPI Editor Emeritus, Martin Walker...and I thank Roy Stephens for sending it along.
Governments across the developed world are behaving like the little Dutch boy who tried to block the seawater by sticking his fingers into the leaking dike. He ran out of fingers. So will the governments. For instance, the U.S. government isn't just having to run faster and faster to stay in the same place. It's running faster and faster and still falling behind.
It's a short read...and the link is here.
Here's a real interesting AP story that was picked up by news.yahoo.com on Sunday...and I thank reader U.D. for sharing it with us.
There are no cars inside the parking garage at Ofunato police headquarters. Instead, hundreds of dented metal safes, swept out of homes and businesses by last month's tsunami, crowd the long rectangular building.
Safes are washing up along the tsunami-battered coast, and police are trying to find their owners — a unique problem in a country where many people, especially the elderly, still stash their cash at home. By one estimate, some $350 billion worth of yen doesn't circulate. There's even a term for this hidden money in Japanese: "tansu yokin." Or literally, "wardrobe savings."
As I said, it's a very interesting piece...and the link is here.
I ran a video in my Saturday column about the radiation levels around the Japanese nuclear plants...and now comes this. Japan is to raise the nuclear alert level at the Fukushima Daiichi power plant to a maximum seven, putting the emergency on a par with the 1986 Chernobyl disaster.
When I sent this story to Casey Research's own Bud Conrad last night, this is what he had to say..."I've been watching the developments and have been saying for a long time that it is worse than the Japanese government have been telling us, or that the shills of the energy industry have been saying."
Reader Scott Pluschau was the first one through the door with this story...but another [and more updated] version arrived from Swiss reader B.G...and I'm using that one instead. It's a posting from The Guardian in London that came out early this morning. It's a must read...and the link is here.
Here's another story from The Guardian...this one from the Sunday edition that was sent to me by reader "Jivasattha".
Bolivia is set to pass the world's first laws granting all nature equal rights to humans. The Law of Mother Earth, now agreed by politicians and grassroots social groups, redefines the country's rich mineral deposits as "blessings" and is expected to lead to radical new conservation and social measures to reduce pollution and control industry.
Ecuador, which also has powerful indigenous groups, has changed its constitution to give nature "the right to exist, persist, maintain and regenerate its vital cycles, structure, functions and its processes in evolution". However, the abstract rights have not led to new laws or stopped oil companies from destroying some of the most biologically rich areas of the Amazon.
This is the first I've heard of this sort of thing. It's another very interesting read...and the link is here.
Here's an item I stole from a GATA release yesterday...and I'm going to steal Chris Powell's preamble as well. "Chris Weber, author of a new book inquiring into the status of U.S. gold reserves supposedly kept at Fort Knox in Kentucky, remarks in an essay published this week: "There has been the atmosphere of a sham -- even a fraud -- about the U.S. policy toward gold for generations." Weber's essay is headlined "Where Is America's Gold? The Mystery of Fort Knox"
The story is posted over at lewrockwell.com...and the link is here.
It may not be another California-style gold rush, but a silver stampede is occurring in local coin and antique shops. Coin dealers are not the only ones struggling to keep coins in stock. Bob Flinn owns an antique shop in south Georgia and is experiencing the same surge as local shop owners. “We cannot keep silver items stocked. We have buyers, many of them dealers, coming in from as far away as Atlanta. The dealers are coming looking for inventory items,” he said.
It's not an overly long read...and I thank reader "Charleston Voice" for sending it along. The link is here.
And this just in from Eric King as I was about to hit the send button. It's a Richard Russell blog posted over at King World News...and the title says it all. I haven't even read it yet, but I know for sure it's a must read for all you nervous Nellie newbies out there. The link is here.
Here's another story I'm borrowing from a GATA release that came out yesterday.
A small increase in U.S. interest rates could provide cover for more bond monetization by the Federal Reserve, economist and former banker Alasdair Macleod writes in his latest commentary.
Along the way Macleod adds: "The Fed and the Band of England are having their hands forced by the unstoppable rise in gold and silver prices. This is a suppression scheme the central banks have finally and demonstrably lost, and in doing so the mounting costs of the short positions on Comex and in the unallocated accounts of LBMA members have become a serious systemic risk."
This is definitely worth reading...and the link is here.
Sponsor Advertisement |
EXPOSED: The Biggest Scam In American History! Mad men drunk on power and driven by greed are robbing YOUR retirement! Most sickening of all, Washington fully endorses this bold-faced assault on your wealth. But Chris Mayer is exposing this scam in his brand new video presentation. PLUS, he’ll show you how you could protect and even grow your wealth in spite of this scam, virtually spitting in the face of these elitist thieves. Don’t be a helpless victim… |
From the price lows within the past decade, silver is now up more than ten-fold, while gold is up almost six-fold. Compare those returns to any asset class widely available to the average investor (stocks, bonds or real estate) over that time span. Precious metals investors, especially silver investors, have much to celebrate. I believe they will have much more to celebrate in the future.- silver analyst Ted Butler, 09 April 2011
As I mentioned in the opening paragraph of this column, net gold volume traded on Monday was light...just a bit over 100,000 contracts. The preliminary open interest number is not overly high...just 6,234 contracts, which should be reduced when the final o.i. numbers are posted later this a.m.
Gold's final open interest number on Friday was posted at 2,600 contracts...which was down considerably from the preliminary o.i. number of 9,012 contracts. I'm hoping that Monday's o.i. number will show a similar percentage reduction.
April's outstanding open interest in gold fell a chunky 808 contracts on Friday...and Monday's preliminary report shows that it's down to 1,727 contracts. It's obvious that those 808 contract holders opted to sell their positions rather than take delivery. I suspect that a large chunk of the remaining open interest will disappear in the same way.
Silver's volume, as I mentioned earlier, was enormous...around 96,000 contracts net of all roll-overs. The preliminary open interest number shows a chunky increase of 5,821 contracts, which I expect to see lowered when the final report comes out of the CME.
Silver's final open interest number for Friday fell all the way down to 276 contracts...which is far cry from the preliminary number of 3,210 that was posted in the CME's preliminary report in the wee hours of Saturday morning. One can only hope that this will happen with yesterday's preliminary open interest number as well.
The backwardation in silver is disappearing rapidly. A premium exists all the way out to the January 2013 delivery month, before it slips into backwardation...and the total backwardation from April 2011 out to December 2015 is now down to a rather small thirty-six cents.
In the Far East's Tuesday trading session, the silver price dipped below $40 a few times...but began trending higher shortly after London opened...and is now sitting at $40.56 spot as of 4:55 a.m. Eastern. Gold is now back to unchanged, after being down all night long here in North America. Volume in both metals is pretty decent. The dollar seems to have hit a peak...and appears to be trending lower.
But, as we found out again yesterday, the real silver price action occurred during the New York trading day. This time it was in the thinly-traded electronic session after the Comex close. We've seen JPMorgan et al pull this stunt a lot over the last six months.
One wonders how hard the U.S.-led bullion banks will push the tech fund silver longs this time. Since there's no one at the CME or CFTC to do anything to stop them, they can pretty much do what they want. But this rally in the silver price did not involve much technical fund buying, so there's a limit to how low 'da boyz' can drive the price if there are not that many longs prepared to sell.
A week ago I pointed out to all Casey Research subscribers that Miles Franklin had a special discount offer on 1-ounce Austrian Philharmonic silver bullion coins. This offer is still open...and if you wish to partake and 'buy the dip'...and if you need more information...please click here.
I await the Comex open with great interest.
See you on Wednesday.