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Message: Ed Steer this morning

Russia's Central Bank Purchases 300,000 Ounces of Gold in November

Big silver withdrawal from Switzerland'sZürcher Kantonalbank last week. Australia's Perth Mint has 'production' problems. Baltic Dry Index looks pretty ugly. John Embry talks about gold. Jim Rickards speaks... and much more.

¤ Yesterday in Gold and Silver

There's not much to talk about in gold market action for Monday's trading session. The price started out strongly at the start of trading in the Far East... and held on to its $10 gain right up until the Comex opened in New York at 8:20 a.m. Eastern time. The low of the day... $1,375.30 spot... occurred moments before 10:30 a.m. in New York... and then recovered all its losses before the trading day ended at 5:15 p.m. Volume was light.

Silver had gained about two bits by the time trading began in Hong Kong yesterday morning... but lost all those gains by the New York open... and then got smacked [just like gold] between 9:45 a.m. and 10:28 a.m. Eastern time. The low price of the day was $28.77 spot. Silver also recovered its New York losses in short order... and spiked to $29.55 spot [its high of the day] in electronic trading minutes after 2:00 p.m. Needless to say, silver's price didn't close anywhere near that value... but still finished in the plus column. Volume in silver was also pretty light.

Between 9:45 a.m. and 10:30 a.m. Eastern time yesterday, the dollar spiked by about 30 basis points. This partly explains the sell off [$11 in gold... and 45 cents in silver] that occurred during that time period.

Now let's fast-forward to 8:00 p.m. in New York last night... which is 9:00 a.m. in Hong Kong on Tuesday morning. As you can see from the chart below... in the space of about ninety minutes, the dollar cratered to the tune of 35 basis points. Gold and silver's gains on that dollar price drop were only a small fraction of the price drops they experienced when the dollar gained less than that amount in New York during Monday's trading day. It's my opinion that the bullion banks in New York capitalize on these moments of dollar strength to drive the precious metals lower than they would normally go... and also prevent the precious metals from rising higher than they normally would, when the dollar falls. We've seen this sort of counter-intuitive price action before... and this is just another example of that.

The gold stocks bottomed about 15 minutes before the gold and silver prices hit their respective lows of the day... and then pretty much followed the gold price action for the rest of the New York trading session. The HUI finished up 1.01%... which is a much better performance than the rest of the equity markets. Most of the silver stocks... and a lot of the juniors... did far better than that.

Monday's CME Delivery Report showed that 13 gold and 109 silver contracts were posted for delivery on Wednesday. In silver, JPMorgan was the only issuer, with 105 of those contracts issued from its client account... and the Bank of Nova Scotia was the big stopper at 87 contract in their proprietary [house] trading account. The link to the activity is here.

There were no changes reported in either the GLD and SLV ETF.

Over at Switzerland's Zürcher Kantonalbank for the week that was, they reported an increase of 31,420 ounces in their gold ETF... but a huge 1,635,017 ounces of silver withdrawn. Somebody obviously needed a large amount of silver in a hurry. As always, I thank Carl Loeb for those numbers.

The U.S. Mint had a sales report on Monday. They sold another 8,500 ounces of gold eagles, along with another 325,000 silver eagles. Month-to-date sales in gold eagles is 51,500 ounces... and silver eagles is 1,747,000.

There was a lot of activity over at the Comex-approved warehouses on Friday. By the end of the day, they had shipped another 372,075 ounces of silver out the door. The big withdrawal was from the Delaware depository... and the link to all the action [which is worth a look] is here.

Well, the Central Bank of the Russian Federation updated their website for November yesterday. They added another 300,000 ounces of gold to their official reserves... which now stand at 25.2 million ounces. The graph below is a brand new one from Nick Laird over at sharelynx.com. The person who used to made up the old graph every month [thanks Susan!] is no longer able to do so... and I asked Nick if he could whip one up... and he stuck this one together in just a couple of days.

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Baltic Shipping Rates

I'm going to start today's stories off with a couple of graphs as well. The first is one of the Baltic Shipping Rates... and is, once again, courtesy of Nick Laird. This is a pretty gruesome looking chart... and if I had to bet a dollar, I know how I'd bet it.

Gold Stocks vs. the NYSE for 2010

The second graph is the Gold Stocks vs. the NYSE for 2010. This is another chart where words aren't necessary. I thank Washington state reader S.A. for sharing it with us.

The Case Against Floating Currencies

My first story today is courtesy of reader U.D... and it's from yesterday's edition of The Wall Street Journal. It's a piece written by Manuel Hinds. Mr. Hinds is the former finance minister of El Salvador and the co-author of Money, Markets and Sovereignty, which won the Manhattan Institute's 2010 Hayek Prize. This op-ed piece is adapted from Mr. Hinds' remarks upon receiving it. The headline from this rather short piece reads "The Case Against Floating Currencies". It's certainly worth your time... and the link is here.

"$2 Trillion debt crisis threatens to bring down 100 US cities

The next story is courtesy of reader R. Bentley and is from yesterday's edition of The Guardian in London. The headline reads "$2 Trillion debt crisis threatens to bring down 100 US cities"... Overdrawn American cities could face financial collapse in 2011, defaulting on hundreds of billions of dollars of borrowings and derailing the US economic recovery. Nor are European cities safe – Florence, Barcelona, Madrid, Venice: all are in trouble. The link is here.

The Beginning of the End of Dollar Hegemony

Along with one of the above graphs, Washington state reader S.A. has provided this story from the Friday edition of Barron's. The author, Randall Forsyth, writes that "The demand for dollars from the rest of the world has been of inestimable benefit to the U.S. economy." It has allowed it to live beyond its means for decades... and as the dollar continues to decline... "America will have to start picking up the tab for what had been a free lunch." The headline reads "The Beginning of the End of Dollar Hegemony"... and the link is here.

Crisis Dominoes Start Falling With Lehman Auditor

Here's reader U.D.'s second offering of this column. It's a Matt Taibbi piece from Rolling Stone magazine datelined yesterday. The headline reads "Crisis Dominoes Start Falling With Lehman Auditor". It appears that New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo is about to file civil fraud charges against Ernst and Young for the work it did helping Lehman cook its books during 2007 and 2008. Matt also links a zerohedge.com piece [also posted yesterday] that goes much further than this short piece. The story contains Matt's usual 'pithy prose' at times... and not only is it worth the read... but the background story linked at zerohedge.com to which Taibbi refers... is also worth your time. The link to 'all of the above' is here.

Newly Built Ghost Towns Haunt Banks in Spain

My first international story today is courtesy of 'Charleston Voice'... and is an article out of the Friday edition of The New York Times. As you aware, the real estate situation is not only horrid in the U.S.A... but in Spain as well. Most of you have seen the photos of the ghost towns in China... well, they have them in Spain, too. The headline reads "Newly Built Ghost Towns Haunt Banks in Spain". Here is one of the many reasons why Spain will be the next of the PIIGS nations to fail. The link is here.

Zimbabwe Health Care, Paid With Peanuts

Zimbabwe hasn't had a national currency for a couple of years... getting by on a whatever foreign currency they can get their hands on... after they hyper-inflated their own fiat currency into the ground. Here's a piece that was sent to me by Casey Research's own John Grandits. It's from the Saturday edition of The New York Times... and bears the headline "Zimbabwe Health Care, Paid With Peanuts". A lot of rural [and probably urban] business is still being done on the barter system. The link to the story is here.

Korea crisis: Yeonpyeong war games increase tension

Both Russia and China are saying that the situation on the Korean Peninsula is "extremely precarious, highly complicated and sensitive."... and crisis talks were held at the U.N. on Saturday. The story I have on this is courtesy of yesterday's King Report... and is posted over at the bbc.co.uk website. The headline reads "Korea crisis: Yeonpyeong war games increase tension"... and the link is here. I wonder if someone is deliberately attempting to provoke a war? It wouldn't surprise me in the slightest.

Berlin's Lack of Vision: Europe Turns against Germany

Reader Roy Stephens provides a story on the current European crisis that falls into the highly recommended reading category, even though it's a bit on the long side. It's a posting over at the German website spiegel.de... and the headline reads "Berlin's Lack of Vision: Europe Turns against Germany". Germany's controversial approach to fighting the euro crisis has split the European Union. Some countries are complaining about Berlin's rigid course, while others accuse Chancellor Merkel of betraying the European project. The only thing they can agree on is that the EU needs Germany as a motor if it is to survive. The link to the story is here.

Temporary Suspension of 2011 10-oz and 5-oz Silver Bullion Coins

I've got three precious metals-related stories for you today... and the first one is this 'news report' from the Perth Mint last Friday. The headline reads "Temporary Suspension of 2011 10-oz and 5-oz Silver Bullion Coins". Sales and Marketing Director Ron Currie said the supply of metal was not an issue. “Before anyone suggests we’re running out of metal – simply not true. It’s manufacturing capacity that is the issue here,” he wrote. I thank Australian reader Wesley Legrand for the story... and the link is here.

Gold, Silver Could Go Ballistic By Year-End

In new commentary for Investor's Digest of Canada, Sprott Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist John Embry talks back to U.S. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner and Warren Buffett's business partner, Charles Munger, and predicts that precious metals will surge shortly. Embry's commentary is headlined "Gold, Silver Could Go Ballistic By Year-End" and you can find it posted over at sprott.com. I stole this preamble from Chris Powell's GATA release... and I thank Florida reader Donna Badach for being the first one through the door with the story... and the link to this must read commentary, is here.

Interview With Jim Rickards

Lastly today is an Interview With Jim Rickards of Omnis, Inc. It's sort of year-end wrap to the year that is about to end. As you know, I'm a huge fan of anything Rickards has to say... and the contents of this King World News interview is no exception... and the link to this must listen interview is here.

¤ The Funnies

¤ The Wrap

There's not much to read into Monday's price activity... so I won't. As I said, volume in both metals was pretty light... and I doubt that open interest numbers in either metal will show much change when the final figures are reported later this morning.

Friday's changes in open interest showed that gold o.i. fell 3,949 contracts... but silver o.i. was up 954 contracts.

There sure wasn't much going in Far East or early London trading as I put the finishing touches on today's column. They're obviously having problems over at the CME's website... as I can't bring up the volume numbers... but I expect that they aren't very heavy... at least based on the price action that's going on as of 4:19 a.m. Eastern time.

That's it for today. See you tomorrow.

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