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Message: Bill Cara on Barrick

Bill Cara on Barrick

posted on Sep 10, 2009 12:47PM

As noted by Bill below, we just might be witnessing the end of the gold futures market and thus the demise of the infamous NY gold cartel.

It's a shame - VHF

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Morning Commentary

Bill Cara

September 10, 2009

As traders, as long as we have the right to sell as well as buy, which is a right that we may not have for long if the nonsense in Washington keeps up, we can continue shorting the US Dollar and buying gold (and silver). But, we had better buy physical gold or unhedged miners of physical gold, because we don’t want a piece of paper that says its gold, but is really wooden nickels.

Take the case of Barrick (ABX). Yesterday they sold $3.5 billion in stock to raise cash to buy back their gold shorts (called hedges) because they cannot deliver physical gold. They cannot buy it in the physical market because the owners would only sell it for $1200, $1500, $2000, and much higher.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601082&sid=aOtemPIX8MVk

So what’s Barrick going to do with the cash? They realize it has little value (the treasury rate is 0.1% return), so they are going to deliver this $3.5 billion stack of wooden nickels to the holders of their gold contracts, waiting for their gold. Even the world’s oldest profession won’t take wooden nickels, so, burn me once, shame on you; burn me twice, shame on me, now the gold futures market is going to die. Contract buyers will no longer trust sellers. And other than Barrick and a few other desperate mining companies, who are the sellers of these contracts anyway? Well, guess what, it’s Humungous Bank & Broker (HB&B), led by none other than Jamie Dimon, the JP Morgan CEO who, on behalf of his HB&B colleagues is Ben Bernanke’s puppeteer.

So this all comes full circle. Is it any wonder that a once powerful US Dollar is now just a pile of wooden nickels, costing a banker nothing to borrow from their banker, the one that has a phony balance sheet.

And yes the swan dive of the US Dollar is going to pump up share prices for a while, but as an officer of the Bank of China remarked today, its creating an asset bubble everywhere he looks, whether its stocks, bonds, commodities, whatever.

Forewarned is forearmed. Prepare yourself. Every time you see a dip in the gold price, buy the physical or the physical backed stocks of companies like Central Fund and Silver Wheaton. This could be the 1930’s all over again, where gold was the leading asset class and the old Homestake Mining was the leading stock.

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