from tonights MIDAS report
posted on
Apr 09, 2009 04:06PM
Golden Minerals is a junior silver producer with a strong growth profile, listed on both the NYSE Amex and TSX.
*The specs continue to flee from gold, even as the fundamentals of why they should be there are improving. The Gold Cartel has really done a job on them, as the gold open interest fell 10,422 contracts to 334,507 … leaving it close to 60,000 contracts off its recent high. This is a significant drop (there was probably a good bit more today) and sets the stage for a substantial move to the upside.
The silver open interest dropped 490 contracts to 92,611.
*The Café Sentiment Indicator is still comatose, which is bullish from a contrarian point of view.
The yield on the 10 yr T note is 2.93%.
The dollar rose .37 to 85.68.
The euro fell .0092 to 1.3160.
More gold goodies from John Brimelow…
Wednesday, April 08, 2009 Too quiet out there? Tuesday’s up $10.50 Comex day produced a moderate 1,653 lot (5.14 tonne) rise in open interest. Perhaps there was some short covering also. Having drifted up all day, gold ran into selling before the Comex open, slicing some $5 off in a few minutes. This apparent effort to develop downward momentum failed: gold rallied sharply on the open and it took very heavy selling – said by ScotiaMocatta to be from dealers – to drive June Gold down to its down $4.20 low for day. This happened at 10AM: 56% of the day’s estimated volume had traded by then. After that June Gold drifted back up to an intraday high of $891.70 (up $8.40) before losing ground in the last half hour as estimated volume accelerated 34.7%. The floor close was up only $2.60. Total estimated volume was only 87,493 contracts with a switch effect of 5,876. The Wire Service commentaries, which usually ignore after market action, are unusually assiduous in reporting gold’s marked $5 subsequent slide - attributed by Reuters to the perception of no inflation concern in the FOMC minutes released in mid-afternoon. Taken altogether, it looks as if a short position is being actively managed. The GLD ETF gold holdings were reported unchanged at 1127.37 tonnes for the 4th day running: there has been no significant change for 9 business days now. MarketVane’s Bullish Consensus and the HGNSI were both unchanged at 71% and -3.5% respectively. The gold shares responded badly to the late gold loss, but did manage modest rallies into the close: the HUI actually closed up 0.24% but the XAU was down 0.48%. Could this market, now approaching the long Easter break, be getting too quiet?
Indian ex-duty premiums: AM ($1.95) PM ($2.23) with world gold at $883.82 and $884. Below legal import point. This was despite a slight firming of the rupee, which closed at $1=R50 (Wednesday R50.13.) The stock market edged up 0.57%. Somewhat disappointing for gold’s friends. On the other hand, Viet Nam’s physical premium widened to $23.16, a new recent high. Another story discussing the domestic gold shortage, courtesy TheBullionDesk.com, appears at The story reports that some $2.29 Billion of gold has been exported from the country this year - I guesstimate circa 80 tonnes. Staunching this flow will be important. UBS notes today that scrap flows in general have slowed "sharply". Shanghai gold futures closed at a 63c premium to world gold. TOCOM had little interest. A lower $US price and a slightly down-trending yen caused a slight increase on open interest: 0.45 tonnes, equivalent to 145 Comex. Prices actually trended up all day before being reversed as Western markets opened: the active contract added 4 yen, but world gold went out some $3.20 below the NY floor close. Less scrap