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Message: more Gartman comments on the new proposed status of SDR

more Gartman comments on the new proposed status of SDR

posted on Apr 08, 2009 02:09PM

Finally, in a world that has suddenly begun talking far

too often about “reserves” and “reserve currencies,’

and “reserve currency status,” we note that one of the

giants in the field, Dr. Robert Mundell, a gentleman

who has long been an advisor to the Chinese

government and a gentleman who won the Nobel Prize

for Economics in ’99, has strongly endorsed the notion

that the SDR should move

toward reserve currency

status and that the

Chinese Renminbi should

be included in the basket

of currencies that is the

SDR itself. Noting that the

IMF’s SDR is revised every

five years and that next

year is that year, Dr.

Mundell said from Hong

Kong a day ago that

It is time for a change. The Chinese Yuan is

now the third most important currency in the

world… arguably more important than the Yen,

depending on how your measure it, [thus] I

believe that in 2010 the Yuan should be added

to the SDR.

In so doing, Dr. Mundell has said that it is reasonable

to reduce the US$’s position in the SDR from 45% to

40%; that the EUR should be held at 29% of the SDR’s

value; that the Yen’s percentage should also be kept

steady… at 15%; that the British pound sterling’s

weighting be cut from its present 11% to perhaps 5%,

or even perhaps to 0%, with the Yuan taking of the

remainder.

Dr. Mundell… oft times referred to as The Father of the

Euro, for it was he who championed the currency early

on… is exactly right concerning the Yuan’s

ascendency to its position just ahead of the Yen.

China’s role in the global economy is swiftly moving

ahead of that of Japan, and with a growing population

and a rising economy, along with a growing military

presence, China’s position amongst the global

economic elite is assured. As a friend once said, “We

must remember that of the history of the past thirty

centuries, China’s economy was the largest in the

world for 27 of them; we are simply regressing to the

mean.” Although obviously said in jest, our friend

spoke the truth. Dr. Mundell’s comments are simply

more evidence of that fact.

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