Gartman comments on China versus the USA
posted on
Mar 19, 2009 01:24PM
Golden Minerals is a junior silver producer with a strong growth profile, listed on both the NYSE Amex and TSX.
GENERAL COMMENTS ON THE CAPITAL MARKETS ON CHINA: RONALD REAGAN WOULD SMILE: Speaking at the People’s
Congress in Beijing recently, Premier Wen Jiaboa made it quite clear that China intends fully to achieve 8% growth in GDP this year. Not next year; not two years hence, but this year…’09; the year of the Ox… this year. Interestingly, Mr. Wen made it clear that not only was the government intent upon force feeding liquidity into the nation’s banks, but was also prepared to make material cuts in income taxes, across the board to sponsor such growth. Wen made it clear that the only way he can see Chinese economic growth returning to the not-so-long-ago-lost halcyon days of 9% growth almost relentlessly shall require more than simple reserve injections. Mr. Wen said that it is his intention to turn China from an export driven society to a consumer driven one instead. He know that liquidity alone will not suffice to do what Beijing needs the economy to do; hence Mr. Wen will begin this new era of growing consumer demand by cutting corporate and personal income taxes. According to
the simplest of terms, that it is Beijing’s intention to
spur the economy forward by “
boosting domestic
demand through residential tax cuts, in addition to the levy reduction for companies.”
The latter has already
been put into effect; the former is coming. Mr. Wen’s proposed “residential” tax cuts include tax cuts on securities transactions; tax cuts on property sales; smaller taxes on exports and an end to a number of “administrative charges” on various goods and services. At a time when American law makers on the Left are debating the possibilities of taxing stock transactions, the Chinese are moving to end them! Further, China is moving swiftly ahead with very real “infrastructure” spending. The new term here in the US is “shovel ready.” Our stimulus program is manifestly un-shovel ready; in China, the shovels are already at hand and the programs are being put into effect, with workers being hired and ground being broken. Mr. Wen has the calendar working for him too, for this year marks the 60
th
anniversary of the founding
of the People’s Republic. As is always the case, China will have myriad numbers of building programs in place to commemorate that event. Too… and this is hard for us to believe, for time passes so quickly… this is the 20
th anniversary of the Tiananmen Square Uprising.