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Golden Minerals is a junior silver producer with a strong growth profile, listed on both the NYSE Amex and TSX.

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Message: Backwardation

Backwardation

posted on Feb 15, 2009 10:58AM

There is some debate about whether backwardation is bullish for gold and silver. Due to the aboveground stocks-to-flow ratio, I maintain that LBMA backwardation in gold in is not only a bullish signal, but, more importantly it is blaring siren signaling trust in the Dollar is being lost. Since the aboveground stocks-to-flow ratio of silver is more typical of other commodities and industrial metals, LBMA silver backwardation is also bullish, for the commodity but may not be as relevant to the Dollar unless the reasons for the backwardation are clearly understood. As an amateur, I do not know the root cause of the backwardation although I listed three possible causes earlier, plus the Pound's recent relative devaluation. However we can look at what happened to the price of silver and gold during each of the three backwardation periods from 2006-2009.

Full atricle with charts

http://www.nolanchart.com/article599...

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